CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties
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  CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties
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Author Topic: CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties  (Read 2072 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: June 07, 2016, 05:00:39 AM »
« edited: June 07, 2016, 05:06:27 AM by TN volunteer »

Hillary Clinton (D): 45%
Donald Trump (R): 38%

Hillary Clinton (D): 41%
Donald Trump (R): 36%
Gary Johnson (L): 6%
Jill Stein (G): 3%

Bernie Sanders (D): 54%
Donald Trump (R): 35%

Clinton favorability: 37/55 (-18)
Trump favorability: 33/61 (-28)

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2355
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 05:10:14 AM »

Hillary Clinton (D): 45%
Donald Trump (R): 38%

Hillary Clinton (D): 41%
Donald Trump (R): 36%
Gary Johnson (L): 6%
Jill Stein (G): 3%

Bernie Sanders (D): 54%
Donald Trump (R): 35%

Clinton favorability: 37/55 (-18)
Trump favorability: 33/61 (-28)

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2355

as I said before, DJT has better chance in OR/CT than WI.

5% gaps = catchable.

And I like Jill got 3%. if she gets similar in PA. DJT wins PA.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 05:49:12 AM »

I have a tough time believing that Clinton is struggling in Connecticut of all places.
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LLR
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« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 06:28:34 AM »

Meh, it's the Bernie voters. Bernie's margin = Obama's. Once they come home, it'll be ok.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 07:51:08 AM »

That would be a typical CT poll for a governor's race. CT is not as hopeless on the state-wide level.

I doubt Trump comes much closer than this without a shift in the national polls though.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 08:12:28 AM »

Send to continue the trend where third parties pull more from Clinton.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 08:13:13 AM »

Send to continue the trend where third parties pull more from Clinton and third parties are near or at 10%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 08:56:54 AM »

Oh look, it's the typical summer Quinnipiac poll where Connecticut is within single digits. I still remember Republicans being so happy that McCain and Romney were within striking distance. lol
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 09:10:43 AM »

Expected from Quinnipiac. It'll look more realistic in the coming months.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 10:16:58 AM »

Meh, it's the Bernie voters. Bernie's margin = Obama's. Once they come home, it'll be ok.

Except they are sore loser indies who despise the Democratic Party
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Ebsy
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« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 11:25:59 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 11:29:50 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

The fact that Quinnipiac is so highly rated by Fivethirtyeight and regarded highly by analysts flabbergasts me. They have done terribly this primary season, came out with very R friendly polls the last two cycles and seem to be continuing to do the same again yet no one wants to call them out on it.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 11:36:55 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.

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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 11:50:31 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.



Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 11:52:01 AM »

Feel free to waste your time here, Little Donny.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 11:52:43 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.



Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.

it seems Hillary has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Nate Silver said to TRUMP.
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Angrie
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« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 11:54:49 AM »

Safe D. LOL @ the difference between the Bernie margin and the Clinton margin. Berniacs gonna Berniac.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 11:55:19 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.



Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.

it seems Hillary has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Nate Silver said to TRUMP.


it seems TRUMP has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Dick Morris said to Hillary.
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Rick Grimes
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« Reply #18 on: June 09, 2016, 04:06:06 AM »

yeah CT will be a swing state.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #19 on: June 09, 2016, 02:39:41 PM »

Couldn't the accuracy with time principle apply to all polls?
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