CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 07:49:08 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CT-Quinnipiac: Clinton +7 /+5 with third parties  (Read 2042 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 07, 2016, 05:00:39 AM »
« edited: June 07, 2016, 05:06:27 AM by TN volunteer »

Hillary Clinton (D): 45%
Donald Trump (R): 38%

Hillary Clinton (D): 41%
Donald Trump (R): 36%
Gary Johnson (L): 6%
Jill Stein (G): 3%

Bernie Sanders (D): 54%
Donald Trump (R): 35%

Clinton favorability: 37/55 (-18)
Trump favorability: 33/61 (-28)

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2355
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 05:10:14 AM »

Hillary Clinton (D): 45%
Donald Trump (R): 38%

Hillary Clinton (D): 41%
Donald Trump (R): 36%
Gary Johnson (L): 6%
Jill Stein (G): 3%

Bernie Sanders (D): 54%
Donald Trump (R): 35%

Clinton favorability: 37/55 (-18)
Trump favorability: 33/61 (-28)

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2355

as I said before, DJT has better chance in OR/CT than WI.

5% gaps = catchable.

And I like Jill got 3%. if she gets similar in PA. DJT wins PA.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 05:49:12 AM »

I have a tough time believing that Clinton is struggling in Connecticut of all places.
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 06:28:34 AM »

Meh, it's the Bernie voters. Bernie's margin = Obama's. Once they come home, it'll be ok.
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 07:51:08 AM »

That would be a typical CT poll for a governor's race. CT is not as hopeless on the state-wide level.

I doubt Trump comes much closer than this without a shift in the national polls though.
Logged
RJEvans
MasterRegal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 496
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 08:12:28 AM »

Send to continue the trend where third parties pull more from Clinton.
Logged
RJEvans
MasterRegal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 496
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 08:13:13 AM »

Send to continue the trend where third parties pull more from Clinton and third parties are near or at 10%.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 08:56:54 AM »

Oh look, it's the typical summer Quinnipiac poll where Connecticut is within single digits. I still remember Republicans being so happy that McCain and Romney were within striking distance. lol
Logged
YaBoyNY
NYMillennial
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,469
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 09:10:43 AM »

Expected from Quinnipiac. It'll look more realistic in the coming months.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,749
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 10:16:58 AM »

Meh, it's the Bernie voters. Bernie's margin = Obama's. Once they come home, it'll be ok.

Except they are sore loser indies who despise the Democratic Party
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 11:25:59 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 11:29:50 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

The fact that Quinnipiac is so highly rated by Fivethirtyeight and regarded highly by analysts flabbergasts me. They have done terribly this primary season, came out with very R friendly polls the last two cycles and seem to be continuing to do the same again yet no one wants to call them out on it.
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 11:36:55 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.

Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 11:50:31 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.



Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 11:52:01 AM »

Feel free to waste your time here, Little Donny.
Logged
StatesPoll
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 441
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 11:52:43 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.



Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.

it seems Hillary has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Nate Silver said to TRUMP.
Logged
Angrie
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 448


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 11:54:49 AM »

Safe D. LOL @ the difference between the Bernie margin and the Clinton margin. Berniacs gonna Berniac.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 11:55:19 AM »

Quinnipiac put out a an Obama +7 poll in August during 2012, and the polling average badly missed the margin in 2012.

Difference
Obama broke 50% (he got 52%)

Hillary got only 41% and only +5% margins in 4-way race.



Difference
Romney broke 40% (he got 45%)

TRUMP got only 38% and only -5% margins in a 4-way race.

it seems Hillary has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Nate Silver said to TRUMP.


it seems TRUMP has a 'ceiling' in connecticut.
As Dick Morris said to Hillary.
Logged
Rick Grimes
Rookie
**
Posts: 94


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 09, 2016, 04:06:06 AM »

yeah CT will be a swing state.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,918
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 09, 2016, 02:39:41 PM »

Couldn't the accuracy with time principle apply to all polls?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.043 seconds with 13 queries.