NJ-Monmouth: Clinton in trouble (user search)
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  NJ-Monmouth: Clinton in trouble (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-Monmouth: Clinton in trouble  (Read 4271 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
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Posts: 27,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« on: May 31, 2016, 12:59:22 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on May 31, 2016, 12:54:56 PM
Multiple polls had New Jersey a single digit race in 2012. It ended up not being so close.

Best way to compare is the RCP average in 2012 and 2016

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nj/new_jersey_romney_vs_obama-1912.html#polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nj/new_jersey_trump_vs_clinton-5872.html

Back in 2012 the End of May gap between Obama and Romney was 12.3.  Now it is 9 in 2016.  It is sort of plausible. Trump has done a lot of business in NJ and could have some residual net positive as part of that. 
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2016, 02:57:06 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on May 31, 2016, 01:30:03 PM
LOL! Obama won the state with alomost twenty points, Hillary is in big trouble. She's a very weak candidate and will lose to TRUMP. With or without New Jersey.

It is not that negative for Clinton. Understand that Sandy pushed NJ significantly toward Obama than before the storm.
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