CBS/NYT national poll: Clinton 51% Sanders 44%
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  CBS/NYT national poll: Clinton 51% Sanders 44%
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Author Topic: CBS/NYT national poll: Clinton 51% Sanders 44%  (Read 831 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 20, 2016, 09:03:39 AM »

CBS/NYT national poll, conducted May 13-17:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-national-poll-hillary-clintons-lead-over-donald-trump-narrows/

Clinton 51%
Sanders 44%
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2016, 09:11:39 AM »

If anyones curious about what the 2008 dem nomination looked like even after Obama essentially won, polls were in single digits.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2016, 11:33:39 AM »

If anyones curious about what the 2008 dem nomination looked like even after Obama essentially won, polls were in single digits.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

I'd love to see the 2016 primary averages overlaying that.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2016, 06:04:31 PM »

If anyones curious about what the 2008 dem nomination looked like even after Obama essentially won, polls were in single digits.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

Though the polls in early May showing a deadlock were far more representative of the actual results than the blowout shown at the end.

National polls are never very useful since they can change extremely quickly after the early primaries, but they become completely useless after a large chunk of states have voted since it's impossible to distinguish between a) people genuinely changing their mind b) them just having an unrepresentative sample of people who may not even have voted and c) bandwagoners.

However, this one doesn't look too off. I don't really feel like going through the effort of the math on this, but if Bernie performs very well on June 7th it might be possible to get the PV to within single digits.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2016, 10:27:56 PM »

Hillary Clinton's favorability #s among Sanders voters:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/25/upshot/explaining-hillary-clintons-lost-ground-in-the-polls.html?_r=0

favorable 20%
unfavorable 47%
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2016, 10:33:23 PM »

They will hopefully come around.
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