No, polls were accurate last year (final public poll: PKP 59%, he won with 57%) and in 2007. Combined with other indicators, as Breguet has said throughout the race, Cloutier is still gonna win.
I'm aware of that but the contest last year where PKP won was not a competitive race and he was by far the most well known candidate. This contest is much more competitive and the candidates are not so well known to the public...I assume a lot will depend on who has the best on the ground organization as well.
I expect Cloutier will win. But let's keep in mind that in 2013 if it had been up to Ontario Liberal VOTERS as opposed to MEMBERS polls at the time suggested Gerrad Kennedy would have won and Wynne would have come in third.