IN - ARG: Trump +9, Clinton +8 (user search)
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  IN - ARG: Trump +9, Clinton +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IN - ARG: Trump +9, Clinton +8  (Read 4181 times)
Simfan34
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Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« on: April 29, 2016, 01:08:32 PM »

I'm not sure I understand why this is concerning for Trump. Is it because Kasich is high enough that a great deal of his support might flow to CRUZ?

Because ARRRGGGH!
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Simfan34
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2016, 08:47:23 PM »

If Trump loses badly then he can very well lose Indiana as well. I don't know why so many people seem to believe Indiana is so inelastic; it's not as if the 2008 result was the product of a mass psychotic break. It'll swing to the Dems under the right conditions, which I think have a fair chance of being met in a Trump-Hillary matchup. Sure, a large portion of the state may appear culturally similar to the South, but so does much of Pennsylvania-- another state that people here refuse to believe could ever possibly flip (despite a clear Republican trend).
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