Will Trump exceed 50% of the vote in every primary tonight?
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  Will Trump exceed 50% of the vote in every primary tonight?		 « previous next »
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#1
Yes
#2
No
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Author Topic: Will Trump exceed 50% of the vote in every primary tonight?  (Read 1589 times)
Ronnie
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« on: April 26, 2016, 02:58:52 PM »
I'll be watching the PredictIt market that asks the same question very closely.  Vote and discuss.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2016, 03:04:43 PM »
If he does, the #NeverTrump camp would be in trouble.

Remember that the whole argument (from it) is that the majority of Republicans don't want Trump.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2016, 03:07:20 PM »
You betcha. I think #NeverTrump are setting themselves up for failure.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2016, 03:08:10 PM »
No.
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2016, 03:19:09 PM »
Around 45% in Maryland, and 47-48% in Pennsylvania is my guess. Everything else, yes (and >60% in Rhode Island).
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Erc
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« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2016, 03:19:45 PM »
Almost assuredly not.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2016, 03:21:50 PM »
MD probably not, PA maybe, CT probably and the rest very likely over 50.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2016, 03:26:46 PM »
There's no way he gets over 50% in Maryland.
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swf541
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« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2016, 03:35:45 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 26, 2016, 03:26:46 PM
There's no way he gets over 50% in Maryland.

I think he will
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2016, 03:48:21 PM »
Lean no. Almost certain in Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island. It'll be very close in Pennsylvania, but Maryland is the most likely one to not to be a majority.
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Wrong about 2024 Ghost
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« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2016, 03:51:13 PM »
I'm watching the same market. Smiley And I really don't know.

Trump should be able to go over 50% in RI, CT and DE. If he can't, he's in trouble. The big questions are MD and PA. It's certainly possible, but I think its a die roll. Two die rolls, really.
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ashridge
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« Reply #11 on: April 26, 2016, 03:53:15 PM »
Don't think he'll get over 50 in Maryland or Pennsylvania. The others, probably.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: April 26, 2016, 04:00:31 PM »
No, but it will be much closer than I think most assume it will be.
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Wrong about 2024 Ghost
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« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2016, 05:44:30 PM »
PredictIt has gone from $0.40 YES when I started watching to stuttering around in the high 40s.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #14 on: April 26, 2016, 07:03:58 PM »

Erc, not on top of your game tonight!
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #15 on: April 26, 2016, 07:07:32 PM »
I'd say yes.
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Beezer
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« Reply #16 on: April 26, 2016, 07:47:50 PM »
Yuuuge night.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #17 on: April 26, 2016, 09:21:48 PM »
Well...umm...damn.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #18 on: April 26, 2016, 09:25:00 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 26, 2016, 03:26:46 PM
There's no way he gets over 50% in Maryland.
poor guy
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #19 on: April 26, 2016, 10:30:09 PM »

At least I didn't say I now accept my accolades. I am purely gobsmacked by these MD results.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #20 on: April 26, 2016, 10:35:39 PM »
I didn't see PA coming, or Trump getting so close to 60 in DE and CT.
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Erc
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« Reply #21 on: April 26, 2016, 10:48:53 PM »

It would seem not.
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #22 on: April 26, 2016, 10:49:28 PM »
Well, so much for the "TRUMP CAN'T REACH 50%!!!!" talking point.
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DemPGH
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« Reply #23 on: April 26, 2016, 10:56:42 PM »
No, no one likes him, he only won NYC, everybody together could beat Trump, Trump underperforms his polls, Republicans hate him, he's Hitler. . . Tongue Grin

Seriously, that IS a sweep, by God. It's almost Super Bowl XX at this point.

GOT to carry this into Indiana. With coach Knight out there I think we need athletic themed Trump gear. "Property of Trump Tower" or "Trump Headquarters" or something.

Ah, great night for Trump. Clearly the choice of the people.
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Iowa+3
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #24 on: April 27, 2016, 02:16:03 AM »
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He is still the worst frontrunner. Every other frontrunner and major challenger was over 50 by the end of march.
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