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  Talk Elections
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  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  AZ-Behavior Research Center: Clinton +7
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Author Topic: AZ-Behavior Research Center: Clinton +7  (Read 2670 times)
IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #25 on: April 27, 2016, 05:03:41 am »
« edited: April 27, 2016, 05:05:52 am by IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi »

I have him losing TX, MT, IN, SC and MS. LA is tossup.

:lol: Utah. I must change my prediction!
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -5.63, S: -6.13

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« Reply #26 on: April 27, 2016, 04:31:09 pm »

I don't see AZ going for Clinton in November, but anything's possible. If it's at all close, though, Trump's toast.

Something I may have said in 2008 around this time:

I don't see VA going for Obama in November, but anything's possible. If it's at all close, though, McCain is toast.

I'm not so sure. I definitely saw VA as a potentially competitive state early on in 2008. I'd be stunned if AZ ended up being only 1 point more Republican than the PV this year.
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swf541
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« Reply #27 on: April 28, 2016, 09:02:51 am »

BRC is not a good pollster
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #28 on: April 28, 2016, 09:46:51 am »

But D+7 is consistent with a lack of enthusiasm of Mormons for Trump and a surge in voting by Mexican-Americans.

Count on this: Arizona will be interesting this year. This is far from the last poll of Arizona. Some of us saw signs of Arizona becoming a swing state in recent elections, most notably the weak performance of John McCain for a favorite son in the 2008 Presidential election.

It will be difficult for the Republican nominee (I assume Donald Trump) to win the Presidency without winning Arizona. If the Republicans lose Arizona they have also lost Colorado as well.
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