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  ARG - MD and PA: Trump & Clinton lead
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Author Topic: ARG - MD and PA: Trump & Clinton lead  (Read 3675 times)
Ronnie
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« on: April 25, 2016, 01:16:17 pm »

Conducted April 21-24, MoE +/- 5%

MD:
Trump 55%
Kasich 21%
Cruz 19%

Clinton 50%
Sanders 44%

PA:
Clinton 58%
Sanders 38%

Trump 50%
Cruz 23%
Kasich 21%

http://americanresearchgroup.com

I'm guessing they surveyed one or two people in Baltimore and the DC suburbs.
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cxs018
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« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2016, 01:20:18 pm »

lol arg
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: April 25, 2016, 01:20:30 pm »

I could buy the PA numbers but the MD numbers are seriously screwed up.  
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2016, 01:22:47 pm »

Translation:

Sanders will get destroyed in MD, but is within 10% in PA.

Trump only ahead of Cruz or Kasich by around 10% in PA, as well as in MD.
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swf541
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« Reply #4 on: April 25, 2016, 01:23:29 pm »

Numbers actually look pretty accurate....... Guess a broken clock is right once in a while or whatever

EDIT: Wait looked at those MD dem numbers, yea no, thats pretty off
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2016, 01:27:05 pm »

Translation:

Sanders will get destroyed in MD, but is within 10% in PA.

Trump only ahead of Cruz or Kasich by around 10% in PA, as well as in MD.

I dont think there is a translation for ARGs crummy polling, they've drifted between somewhat on the mark to completely off with their polls this cycle.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2016, 01:29:23 pm »

As terrible as these polls are, they do raise the interesting and ironic possibility that Trump wins every delegate in every state tomorrow, except his strongest one, Rhode Island.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: April 25, 2016, 01:31:15 pm »

Is this a joke? Seriously though, why are they still polling. They were like 15 points off the Dem race in Wisconsin and like 30 points off the Republican side.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #8 on: April 25, 2016, 01:33:24 pm »

Maybe they accidentally swapped their Dem PA and MD numbers
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #9 on: April 25, 2016, 01:34:08 pm »

Shame on ARG for giving r/Sandersforpresident false hope.
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: April 25, 2016, 01:34:43 pm »

As terrible as these polls are, they do raise the interesting and ironic possibility that Trump wins every delegate in every state tomorrow, except his strongest one, Rhode Island.

Trump is not going to win every delegate in PA even if he wins every CD.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: April 25, 2016, 01:35:02 pm »

Maybe they accidentally swapped their Dem PA and MD numbers

Accidentally ?

LOL.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #12 on: April 25, 2016, 01:35:04 pm »

ARG has zero credibility.  This thread should be deleted. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: April 25, 2016, 01:35:23 pm »

These polls are awful, but if that Trump number is even close to true, he'll get all 38 delegates out of the state.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #14 on: April 25, 2016, 01:36:18 pm »

As terrible as these polls are, they do raise the interesting and ironic possibility that Trump wins every delegate in every state tomorrow, except his strongest one, Rhode Island.

Trump is not going to win every delegate in PA even if he wins every CD.

Oh, I know that, but we won't know how the unbound delegates vote until the convention.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2016, 01:36:35 pm »

As terrible as these polls are, they do raise the interesting and ironic possibility that Trump wins every delegate in every state tomorrow, except his strongest one, Rhode Island.

Trump is not going to win every delegate in PA even if he wins every CD.

No, but if he wins every CD he'll probably get like 80-90% of the PA delegates.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: April 25, 2016, 01:40:04 pm »

As terrible as these polls are, they do raise the interesting and ironic possibility that Trump wins every delegate in every state tomorrow, except his strongest one, Rhode Island.

Trump is not going to win every delegate in PA even if he wins every CD.

Oh, I know that, but we won't know how the unbound delegates vote until the convention.

Actually, we know how most of them will vote. Most of them have declared that they will support Cruz, Trump, or whoever wins their district. NBC has said that they will count the unbound delegates from PA for the campaign they state they will support.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #17 on: April 25, 2016, 02:13:04 pm »

As terrible as these polls are, they do raise the interesting and ironic possibility that Trump wins every delegate in every state tomorrow, except his strongest one, Rhode Island.

Trump is not going to win every delegate in PA even if he wins every CD.

Oh, I know that, but we won't know how the unbound delegates vote until the convention.

Actually, we know how most of them will vote. Most of them have declared that they will support Cruz, Trump, or whoever wins their district. NBC has said that they will count the unbound delegates from PA for the campaign they state they will support.

They might say they'll do one thing, but they can still change their minds until or at the convention.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2016, 03:16:24 pm »

Right, and Sanders will win Delaware while losing Connecticut by 25. Go home, ARG, you're drunk (as usual.)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: April 25, 2016, 06:34:32 pm »

ARG is producing some true gems this cycle. We should be thankful for such comedy gold.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #20 on: April 25, 2016, 08:06:02 pm »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by ARG on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Clinton:
58%
Sanders:
38%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #21 on: April 25, 2016, 08:07:15 pm »

New Poll: Maryland President by ARG on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Clinton:
50%
Sanders:
44%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #22 on: April 25, 2016, 08:10:06 pm »

New Poll: Maryland President by ARG on 2016-04-24

Summary:
Trump:
55%
Kasich:
21%
Cruz:
19%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Fargobison
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« Reply #23 on: April 26, 2016, 05:06:14 pm »

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Is this going to top Wisconsin in how far off it is?
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #24 on: April 26, 2016, 06:32:05 pm »

ARG needs to just die already.
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