What percentage of the vote would Gary Johnson get in a Trump vs Clinton race?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 10, 2025, 11:30:32 AM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  What percentage of the vote would Gary Johnson get in a Trump vs Clinton race?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What percentage of the vote would Johnson get against Trump and Hillary?
#1
Less than 0.5%		  
#2
0.5%-0.1%		  
#3
1%-1.5%		  
#4
1.5%-2%		  
#5
2%-2.5%		  
#6
2.5%-3%		  
#7
3%-3.5%		  
#8
3.5%-4%		  
#9
4%-4.5%		  
#10
4.5-5%		  
#11
5%+		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 39

Author Topic: What percentage of the vote would Gary Johnson get in a Trump vs Clinton race?  (Read 839 times)
RR1997
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,997
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 23, 2016, 08:11:22 AM »
Johnson got 1% of the vote in 2012.

Trump is absolutely hated by a significant portion of his party (unlike Romney, McCain, etc.) A record amount of Republicans claim that they would never vote for Trump (around 25% of the party). Hillary also has very low approval ratings. Many see her as corrupt (I disagree with this notion). Both Hillary and Trump have low approval ratings amongst independents. Many agree that the libertarians could get a record amount of votes this year (mostly from Republicans who hate Trump).

I voted 2%-2.5%.
Logged
VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,876
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2016, 11:44:17 AM »
2-2.5 The polls might show him getting more, but third parties tend to underwhelm.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,098
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 23, 2016, 11:44:59 AM »
He might be able to get 2% this time. Sigh
Logged
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,417
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: 0.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 23, 2016, 12:27:30 PM »
If the NEVERTRUMP movement fades away as I expect it to, 2-3%. If, on the other hand, it sort of remains intact and outright advocates voting third party, he could get 7%.

Of course, there's also the possibility that Johnson isn't even the L nominee. McAfee and Peterson are serious threats and I won't be surprised of one of then wins the nomination. McAfee in particular seems like someone who could be the next Perot if things go right.
Logged
SillyAmerican
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,052
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 23, 2016, 12:39:05 PM »
I'd say 2.5% to 3%. And I'm in an especially generous mood.
Logged
Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,688
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 23, 2016, 01:08:32 PM »
It depends what the leaders of the NeverTrump movement (particularly Ben Sasse) decide to do. If Sasse were to openly endorse the Libertarian Party nominee (believing it wouldn't cost him electorally or with the party establishment), I could see a significant movement of Republican voters toward that nominee, particularly if that nominee is Gary Johnson, a two-term governor of New Mexico who is arguably more Republican than Trump. 
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,632
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 23, 2016, 01:35:12 PM »
Not more than 2%.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 23, 2016, 01:36:00 PM »
I could see him cracking 3%.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,832
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 23, 2016, 04:29:02 PM »
1.5-2%
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,374


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 23, 2016, 04:29:44 PM »
1%-1.5% He almost got one full percent in 2012, but I expect the political scene to be just as polarized along major party lines come November as usual.
Logged
Reginald
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 802
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 23, 2016, 04:34:44 PM »
Most normal people don't want to waste their vote. 1-1.5%.
Logged
Fuzzy Bear
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,728
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 23, 2016, 08:19:39 PM »
I can see him getting 5%, maybe a little more.

The extremely high negatives of both Hillary and Trump make this possible.  In addition, if the election turns to be a Hillary blowout, the #NeverTrump crowd may well feel free to vote Johnson as a protest.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.