WTHR indiana poll: trump and clinton with modest leads (user search)
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  WTHR indiana poll: trump and clinton with modest leads (search mode)
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Author Topic: WTHR indiana poll: trump and clinton with modest leads  (Read 3973 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« on: April 22, 2016, 11:38:39 AM »

Decent numbers. Kasich will decline from 22 and most of the 10% undecided will go to Cruz. Wouldn't look good if it was tomorrow but by May 3 this'll be fine.
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Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2016, 11:42:01 AM »

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What does this mean? Are they "drilling down" into self-identified Republicans (not too useful in an open primary) or into likely voters?
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Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2016, 12:23:51 PM »

As for Repubs, usually Kasich's numbers decline closer to the primary, but Kasich seems to be seriously contesting IN. Also, he fits very well the the Greg Ballard/Mitch Daniels Hoosiers, and also Kasich knows how to campaign in the midwest. But alas, Trump is Trump, and if Kasich's numbers go up, Trump will win the state.

Kasich had much more institutional support in Wisconsin (including two ex-Governors, Tommy Thompson and Scott McCallum). It didn't help. (Not that he'll do worse here than in Wisconsin, but I don't him to do much better, and I doubt he'll hit 22).
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