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March 05, 2021, 06:12:02 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
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Topic: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15 (Read 3010 times)
yankeesfan
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,150
DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
on:
April 20, 2016, 11:25:14 AM »
«
edited:
April 20, 2016, 11:27:20 AM
by
yankeesfan »
Clinton 45
Sanders 38
Undecided 17
Trump 55
Kasich 18
Cruz 15
Undecided 12
http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/delaware-polling/
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,038 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,026 likely Democratic Primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.0% for Republicans and ± 3.1% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted from April 17th through the 18th. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology), with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,777
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #1 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 AM »
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,183
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #2 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:28:20 AM »
LOL Gravis.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,130
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #3 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:29:28 AM »
Well, they may very well have gotten Sanders' final percentage right lol
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yankeesfan
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,150
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #4 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 AM
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.
http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,777
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #5 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:32:45 AM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 AM
Quote from: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 AM
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.
http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
And still Clinton +7? Sad.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,183
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #6 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:35:30 AM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 AM
Quote from: Holmes on April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 AM
Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.
http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
Not bad for a state that's 65% white.
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Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 7,994
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #7 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:02:01 PM »
2008 race breakdown:
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Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 7,994
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #8 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:07:24 PM »
lmao I guess Gravis thinks that the primary will only be 10% black voters.
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Quislings Anonymous
Fubart Solman
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,839
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #9 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:32:00 PM »
A Delaware poll? Cool!
It's from Gravis? Oh.
Here's hoping for an RI poll.
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President Johnson
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,793
Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -5.20
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #10 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:43:30 PM »
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,873
Political Matrix
E: -6.26, S: -4.96
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #11 on:
April 20, 2016, 12:43:57 PM »
Gravis is... well, Gravis.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,939
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #12 on:
April 20, 2016, 01:04:14 PM »
Is Gravis seriously this daft? I will film myself drinking out of a toilet bowl and post it on the Atlas Forum if Delaware's primary electorate is only 10% black.
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PaperKooper
Jr. Member
Posts: 832
Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 5.57
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #13 on:
April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 PM »
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
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dspNY
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,615
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #14 on:
April 20, 2016, 05:19:32 PM »
5% African American? Did they forget that African Americans live in Delaware? This isn't Idaho
28% of Delaware's Democratic primary voters were African-American in 2008
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Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,998
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #15 on:
April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 PM »
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 PM
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,165
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #16 on:
April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 PM
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 PM
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
It is Kasich, so yeah.
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PeteB
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,771
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #17 on:
April 20, 2016, 07:46:56 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 PM
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 PM
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
It is Kasich, so yeah.
According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:
Delaware
Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.
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PaperKooper
Jr. Member
Posts: 832
Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 5.57
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #18 on:
April 20, 2016, 08:36:13 PM »
«
Edited:
April 20, 2016, 08:50:52 PM
by
PaperKooper »
"Big push" probably wasn't the best choice of words. Trump and Kasich are the only candidates with any presence in Delaware, and are probably about even in their (lack of) infrastructure. From what I've heard, Mike Castle will be making phone calls for Kasich, although I believe that has been organized by his SuperPAC which could explain the divergence from his campaign. Trump will be visiting on Friday. Both Trump and Kasich have normal, volunteer canvassers/phonebanks. I am unaware of any activities whatsoever by the Cruz campaign in Delaware. The state convention is next weekend, so we'll see if there are any delegate selection shenanigans.
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,165
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #19 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:11:28 PM »
Quote from: PeteB on April 20, 2016, 07:46:56 PM
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 PM
Quote from: PaperKooper on April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 PM
Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side. Kasich is making a big push here, though.
18% is a big push?
It is Kasich, so yeah.
According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:
Delaware
Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.
It's Kasich, so yeah.
Logged
Ronnie
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 7,998
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #20 on:
April 20, 2016, 11:52:23 PM »
«
Edited:
April 20, 2016, 11:54:44 PM
by
Ronnie »
On that note, does anyone else find it strange that Weaver is essentially commanding anti-Trump PACs to spend their money in a certain way?
https://mobile.twitter.com/NewsNetNews/status/722878120508805121/photo/1
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,777
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #21 on:
April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 AM »
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
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Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,998
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #22 on:
April 21, 2016, 01:43:42 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 AM
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,939
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #23 on:
April 21, 2016, 02:00:45 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 21, 2016, 01:43:42 AM
Quote from: Holmes on April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 AM
That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.
Is he really surprised? Ever since Ohio, #NeverTrump has just been another version of #Cruz2016. They used Kasich for what he was worth then tossed him away.
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sportydude
Jr. Member
Posts: 589
Re: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
«
Reply #24 on:
April 23, 2016, 09:13:16 AM »
Biden's blue blot on the map has finally vanished!!! 0:)
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