|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 30, 2020, 12:14:05 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: DE: Gravis - Clinton 45, Sanders 38; Trump 55, Kasich 18, Cruz 15  (Read 2882 times)
yankeesfan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,150
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 20, 2016, 11:25:14 AM »
« edited: April 20, 2016, 11:27:20 AM by yankeesfan »

Clinton 45
Sanders 38
Undecided 17

Trump 55
Kasich 18
Cruz 15
Undecided 12

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/delaware-polling/

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,038 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,026 likely Democratic Primary voters.  The poll has a margin of error of 3.0% for Republicans and 3.1% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level.  The poll was conducted from April 17th through the 18th.  The total may not round to 100% because of rounding.  The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology), with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2016, 11:27:39 AM »

Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,186
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2016, 11:28:20 AM »

LOL Gravis.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,026
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 20, 2016, 11:29:28 AM »

Well, they may very well have gotten Sanders' final percentage right lol
Logged
yankeesfan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,150
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2016, 11:29:40 AM »

Is this one 80% white on the Democratic side?

It looks like it's 89% white for the whole sample.

http://www.chartgo.com/share.do?id=8e9c2907aa
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2016, 11:32:45 AM »


And still Clinton +7? Sad.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,186
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2016, 11:35:30 AM »


Not bad for a state that's 65% white.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,995
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2016, 12:02:01 PM »

2008 race breakdown:

Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,995
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 20, 2016, 12:07:24 PM »

lmao I guess Gravis thinks that the primary will only be 10% black voters.
Logged
Has a few screws loose
Fubart Solman
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,449
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 20, 2016, 12:32:00 PM »

A Delaware poll? Cool!

It's from Gravis? Oh.

Here's hoping for an RI poll.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,467
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -5.20


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 20, 2016, 12:43:30 PM »

Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,108
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 20, 2016, 12:43:57 PM »

Gravis is... well, Gravis.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,943
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 20, 2016, 01:04:14 PM »

Is Gravis seriously this daft? I will film myself drinking out of a toilet bowl and post it on the Atlas Forum if Delaware's primary electorate is only 10% black.
Logged
PaperKooper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 20, 2016, 01:07:44 PM »

Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,612
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 20, 2016, 05:19:32 PM »

5% African American? Did they forget that African Americans live in Delaware? This isn't Idaho

28% of Delaware's Democratic primary voters were African-American in 2008

Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,616
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 20, 2016, 06:11:44 PM »

Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,587
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 20, 2016, 06:47:31 PM »

Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?

It is Kasich, so yeah.
Logged
PeteB
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,722
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 20, 2016, 07:46:56 PM »

Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?

It is Kasich, so yeah.

According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:

Delaware

Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.
Logged
PaperKooper
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 20, 2016, 08:36:13 PM »
« Edited: April 20, 2016, 08:50:52 PM by PaperKooper »

"Big push" probably wasn't the best choice of words.  Trump and Kasich are the only candidates with any presence in Delaware, and are probably about even in their (lack of) infrastructure.  From what I've heard, Mike Castle will be making phone calls for Kasich, although I believe that has been organized by his SuperPAC which could explain the divergence from his campaign.  Trump will be visiting on Friday.  Both Trump and Kasich have normal, volunteer canvassers/phonebanks.  I am unaware of any activities whatsoever by the Cruz campaign in Delaware.  The state convention is next weekend, so we'll see if there are any delegate selection shenanigans.  
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,587
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 20, 2016, 11:11:28 PM »

Seems pretty accurate, at least on the Republican side.  Kasich is making a big push here, though. 

18% is a big push?

It is Kasich, so yeah.

According to John Weaver the Kasich campaign has pretty much given up on DE:

Delaware

Delaware will award all 16 of its delegates if a candidate receives a plurality of the vote. We expect Trump to have a strong chance of finishing above 50% and would recommend spending resources on the other April 26th states.


It's Kasich, so yeah.
Logged
Ronnie
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,987
United States
P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 20, 2016, 11:52:23 PM »
« Edited: April 20, 2016, 11:54:44 PM by Ronnie »

On that note, does anyone else find it strange that Weaver is essentially commanding anti-Trump PACs to spend their money in a certain way?

https://mobile.twitter.com/NewsNetNews/status/722878120508805121/photo/1
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 21, 2016, 01:35:05 AM »

That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,616
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 21, 2016, 01:43:42 AM »

That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"

MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,943
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 21, 2016, 02:00:45 AM »

That #NeverTrump memo is just sad. "Trump is at 49% in Connecticut, but Kasich can beat him in 4/5 districts!"

MSNBC yesterday said that the Kasich people are PISSED at the #NeverTrump movement for not putting up the level of ad support in New York like they did for Cruz in Wisconsin.

Is he really surprised? Ever since Ohio, #NeverTrump has just been another version of #Cruz2016. They used Kasich for what he was worth then tossed him away.
Logged
sportydude
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 589


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 23, 2016, 09:13:16 AM »

Biden's blue blot on the map has finally vanished!!! 0:)
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.063 seconds with 13 queries.