CT-Quinnipiac: D: Clinton 51% Sanders 42%; R: Trump 48% Kasich 28% Cruz 19%

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I think it's actually possible Bernie could drop out next week, if he gets completely shellacked.

Doubtful when he'll probably win all 4 states in May.

The more I think about it, I don't think KY and WV are in any way comfortable for Sanders. KY is closed (remembering that in OK, Clinton still won Democrats by 9-10%), WV is semi-closed. Indiana is open, so he could absolutely win there and he'll win OR but since it's closed, the margin might be a little underwhelming and the delegate split not all that great.

[Gass3268]

I think it's actually possible Bernie could drop out next week, if he gets completely shellacked.

Doubtful when he'll probably win all 4 states in May.

The more I think about it, I don't think KY and WV are in any way comfortable for Sanders. KY is closed (remembering that in OK, Clinton still won Democrats by 9-10%), WV is semi-closed. Indiana is open, so he could absolutely win there and he'll win OR but since it's closed, the margin might be a little underwhelming and the delegate split not all that great.

Kentucky is the state I am the least certain about for Sanders, you are correct that it is a closed primary and there is obviously a decent % of African Americans, especially in Louisville. West Virginia could also be close. I think how Western PA votes could be a decent indicator for how both states vote. Indiana will be interesting. Clinton should do good in Lake County and Marion County, but I don't know any other areas in the state that would automatically go for her and I imagine the rest of the state would look like downstate Illinois. Oregon is closed, but it is also vote by mail just like the general election, so I imagine turnout should be good.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

WV should actually be very interesting... I kind of expect Sanders to win it, but I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Hillary win here. If she matches her performance with whites from OH, then she'll win.

[Seriously?]

Ouch for Trump.  He needs needs NEEDS 50% here.

Undecideds haven't been collapsed yet. Trump would get over 50% on that alone more likely than not.

[Gass3268]

WV should actually be very interesting... I kind of expect Sanders to win it, but I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Hillary win here. If she matches her performance with whites from OH, then she'll win.

Gut feeling that Ohio is going to look like an anomaly compared to the rest of the Midwest/Appalachia due the Kasich factor.

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Those voters could have been helpful for Sanders in at least making the race closer and more representative of trends we have seen in other states.