MD: PPP: Trump 43, Kasich 29, Cruz 24; Clinton +25

[Gass3268]

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.

Lol, this is my feeling as well.

Too bad about Sanders but this is an awful state for him, however he might win CD-6 with these numbers.

[Gass3268]

So if Trump is only losing in the DC suburbs, that would mean MD-01, MD-02, MD-03, MD-06, and MD-07 are basically locks for him.  He's probably losing MD-04.  MD-05 (because of Southern MD) and MD-08 (because of the arm into very Trumpy rural Frederick and Carroll) should be narrow Trump wins, with more confidence in MD-05 for Trump.

Only question about MD-04 is that Trump usually does well with Republican voters who live in minority-majority districts, baring a few exceptions (WI-04, NC-01)

[Gass3268]

When Cruz places third in the next 6 primaries.

Lol, this is my feeling as well.

Too bad about Sanders but this is an awful state for him, however he might win CD-6 with these numbers.

Maybe, but I expect the Democratic gerrymander to hurt Sanders a bit in MD-06, just like I think it'll help Trump in the districts that have some of the DC suburbs in them.

Yeah, that's why I was hesitant. It would depend on how well Sanders does in Upper County MoCo.

[Gass3268]

At least we have two weeks here of awful results for Cruz. That should make everyone happy!

[Gass3268]

The real question here is what did O'Malley do to offend MD so much? He was the governor and has 49% unfavorables. I don't remember hearing that he did anything absolutely horrible as gov

Failed presidential runs usually hurt your reputation at home. Look at Dodd, Bachmann, Walker, Graham...

The "rain tax" attack against Brown really worked and were essentially attacks on O'Malley by proxy.

[Gass3268]

Another thought about those Western MD numbers, could be a good sign for Sanders in Western PA.