Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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  Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 23596 times)
Vosem
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« Reply #300 on: April 19, 2016, 10:58:31 PM »

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin
But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

Good riddance


What would be left?  The die-hard Republicans of the dwindling religious right and the Wall Street establishment and donor class.  Hopeless.  We need the blue collar Reagan voters, suburban soccer moms, the Ingraham people!  That's how Nixon and Reagan won huge victories!

They're not going to vote for the modern, identity-politics Democratic Party. They won't be happy, but they'll vote Republican.
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PeteB
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« Reply #301 on: April 19, 2016, 11:02:21 PM »

The delegates that Trump did NOT win:

1 delegate in CD 10 (Brooklyn/Manhattan)
2 delegates in CD 12 (Manhattan)
1 delegate in CD 20 (Albany/Schenectady)
1 delegate in CD 24 (Syracuse)

And still to be decided:

1 delegate in CD 13 (Manhattan/Bronx)
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Fargobison
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« Reply #302 on: April 19, 2016, 11:03:45 PM »

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin
But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

Good riddance


What would be left?  The die-hard Republicans of the dwindling religious right and the Wall Street establishment and donor class.  Hopeless.  We need the blue collar Reagan voters, suburban soccer moms, the Ingraham people!  That's how Nixon and Reagan won huge victories!

I think Ingraham would get over it.

Coulter is completely insane, don't care what she does.
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CommanderClash
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« Reply #303 on: April 19, 2016, 11:07:37 PM »

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin
But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

Good riddance


What would be left?  The die-hard Republicans of the dwindling religious right and the Wall Street establishment and donor class.  Hopeless.  We need the blue collar Reagan voters, suburban soccer moms, the Ingraham people!  That's how Nixon and Reagan won huge victories!

They're not going to vote for the modern, identity-politics Democratic Party. They won't be happy, but they'll vote Republican.

America isn't Australia. They don't have to vote at all, and they won't.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #304 on: April 19, 2016, 11:07:56 PM »

Where have all the Republicans gone?

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RI
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« Reply #305 on: April 19, 2016, 11:12:02 PM »

Where have all the Republicans gone?



That was back when the NY GOP only voted for delegates directly, and it sums all the delegate votes leading to a much higher total than actual voters. There were actually only 764,429 voters in the 2000 R primary, fewer than today.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #306 on: April 19, 2016, 11:17:06 PM »

Where have all the Republicans gone?



That was back when the NY GOP only voted for delegates directly, and it sums all the delegate votes leading to a much higher total than actual voters. There were actually only 764,429 voters in the 2000 R primary, fewer than today.

That makes sense....I was wondering how the votes could be that different when I saw it on Twitter.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #307 on: April 19, 2016, 11:29:07 PM »

The Westchester portion of CD-16. Where Cruz lost to Carson. (The Carson votes are null and void).

http://i.imgur.com/OJDqcly.png?1

Office       PRESIDENT-16TH CNG DIST       
PARTY   439 Districts out of   527 Reporting (83)%   Votes   Percent
REP   DONALD J TRUMP   8,419   50%
REP   JOHN R KASICH           4,674   28%
REP   BEN CARSON           2,058   12%
REP   TED CRUZ                   1,762   10%
    Office Totals          16,913   100%
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Ronnie
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« Reply #308 on: April 19, 2016, 11:39:12 PM »

It looks like Trump will end up with >60% in the state, barring something strange.  Very impressive result for him.
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dspNY
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« Reply #309 on: April 19, 2016, 11:40:21 PM »

I said Trump could get all 95 delegates if he really hustled...he came pretty close. Ironically the home of Trump Tower (Manhattan) stopped him from all 95
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #310 on: April 19, 2016, 11:41:43 PM »

I said Trump could get all 95 delegates if he really hustled...he came pretty close. Ironically the home of Trump Tower (Manhattan) stopped him from all 95

That's right.  The people who know him best rejected him.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #311 on: April 19, 2016, 11:43:07 PM »

Looks like CD-13 is in the Trump camp at this point.

With all but 1 precinct reporting...

Donald J. Trump   REP   .   50.49 %   1,285
John R. Kasich   REP   .   28.17 %   717
Ben Carson   REP      0.00 %   0
Ted Cruz           REP   .   21.34 %   543
Total Votes   2,545
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Ronnie
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« Reply #312 on: April 19, 2016, 11:45:23 PM »

I said Trump could get all 95 delegates if he really hustled...he came pretty close. Ironically the home of Trump Tower (Manhattan) stopped him from all 95

That's right.  The people who know him best rejected him.

To be fair, demographics couldn't be worse for Trump in that borough, according to Nate Cohn.  The fact that he even came close is somewhat impressive.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #313 on: April 19, 2016, 11:47:13 PM »

One interesting thing about the exit poll I found is that people with higher incomes voted more for Trump than people with lower incomes. It was Cruz who collapsed with higher earners, and did better with lower incomes. Kasich vote was consistent throughout, though education mattered for him.
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yourelection
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« Reply #314 on: April 20, 2016, 12:19:00 AM »

This was a major victory for Donald Trump. He bounced back from disappointing loses in the last week and left his competitors high and dry. He looks more than ever like the Republican candidate for November.

More at: http://www.yourelection.net/2016/04/new-york-primary-2016/
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Iowa+3
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #315 on: April 20, 2016, 12:19:25 AM »

Strange, usually it's been the Opposite for Cruz. Oh well, -7 for Trump and he falls short.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #316 on: April 20, 2016, 12:21:22 AM »

Quote
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I wouldn't be celebrating just yet. Wink
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Ronnie
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« Reply #317 on: April 20, 2016, 12:21:31 AM »

It seems like everybody's mood about Trump's prospects changes after every contest.  How is everybody going to feel after he gets swept in May?
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Tokugawa Sexgod Ieyasu
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« Reply #318 on: April 20, 2016, 12:29:48 AM »

Strange, usually it's been the Opposite for Cruz. Oh well, -7 for Trump and he falls short.

Where are you getting this -7 from? Trump will win 90/95 delegates.
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MK
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« Reply #319 on: April 20, 2016, 12:32:57 AM »

It seems like everybody's mood about Trump's prospects changes after every contest.  How is everybody going to feel after he gets swept in May?

By then Cruz could possibly have lost like 6 states by 25pt margins.  Its really crazy how he loses that much then wins one very conservative state by 10Pt's and the MSM is declaring to have stopped Trump for good.  Just like before Wisconsin Cruz had lost like 5 states .
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RI
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« Reply #320 on: April 20, 2016, 12:37:59 AM »

Has Cruz been mathematically eliminated from 1237 on the first ballot yet?
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #321 on: April 20, 2016, 12:39:55 AM »

Has Cruz been mathematically eliminated from 1237 on the first ballot yet?

Kind of.  He can still get there with unbound delegates.

https://twitter.com/taniel/status/722634099031150592
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Holmes
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« Reply #322 on: April 20, 2016, 01:12:46 AM »

New York would probably be one of the few states that the Republicans would perform better with Trump as the nominee than with Cruz. It's New York though, so whatever, but there are a few downticket races that Democrats want to win so that might hurt them a bit.
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Matty
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« Reply #323 on: April 20, 2016, 01:14:59 AM »

Kasich's support in rich districts of NYC is a decent sign he can maybe keep trump under 50 in CT.
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Ljube
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« Reply #324 on: April 20, 2016, 01:24:46 AM »

Kasich's support in rich districts of NYC is a decent sign he can maybe keep trump under 50 in CT.

You and the other anti-Trump people should concede right now and unite behind Trump.
Trump will win CT with more than 50% of the vote.
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