NJ - Rutgers: Clinton 51%, Sanders 42%

[dspNY]

Yet another pollster that includes independents in a closed primary. She's up 19 among registered Dems.

Not a fully closed primary (indies can declare a preference at the voting booth) but the registration deadline for everyone is 3 weeks before the election.

In 2008, Jersey held their primary on Super Tuesday and only 19% of the electorate was independent. This poll has 32% independents. No way is that going to happen, so this poll is understating Clinton by at least 6-7 points

[dspNY]

Yet another pollster that includes independents in a closed primary. She's up 19 among registered Dems.

Not a fully closed primary (indies can declare a preference at the voting booth) but the registration deadline for everyone is 3 weeks before the election.

In 2008, Jersey held their primary on Super Tuesday and only 19% of the electorate was independent. This poll has 32% independents. No way is that going to happen, so this poll is understating Clinton by at least 6-7 points

That's still a lot more open than NY is. Interesting.

NY is historically super-closed in part because the big parties like having smaller parties (WFP, Independence, Conservative) cross-endorse candidates. If NY wasn't closed those parties would be subsumed into the big two. NY is one of the last states with smaller state-centric parties. The WFP grew out of the old Liberal Party which Jacob Javits ran on once after losing his primary to Al D'Amato