NJ - Rutgers: Clinton 51%, Sanders 42% (user search)
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  NJ - Rutgers: Clinton 51%, Sanders 42% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ - Rutgers: Clinton 51%, Sanders 42%  (Read 2665 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 53,614


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: April 19, 2016, 02:10:22 AM »

Yet another pollster that includes independents in a closed primary. She's up 19 among registered Dems.

Not a fully closed primary (indies can declare a preference at the voting booth) but the registration deadline for everyone is 3 weeks before the election.

In 2008, Jersey held their primary on Super Tuesday and only 19% of the electorate was independent. This poll has 32% independents. No way is that going to happen, so this poll is understating Clinton by at least 6-7 points

That's still a lot more open than NY is. Interesting.

Anything is more open than NY. Even the 2 other states where you're sh**t out of luck if you're an independent 31 days before the election.
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