Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12 (user search)
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  Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12  (Read 5986 times)
Shadows
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« on: April 12, 2016, 11:37:49 PM »

I am surprised - This is pretty damn good for Sanders - MD has one of the highest Black population, higher than NC or SC I think.

If there is one state where Clinton can win 34-40-45% it is MD - 22% now, I am hoping with time left, Sanders can push & get a NC type result & get to a 16-17% loss!
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Shadows
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« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2016, 01:09:05 AM »

Mississippi   - 37
Louisiana   - 32
Georgia   - 30.5
Maryland   - 29.4
South Carolina - 27.9
Alabama - 26.2
North Carolina -    21.5

(Rough % of Black Population in different states - In a Dem Primary this number becomes 1.5-2 times as % of population as most black people vote in the Dems than say GOP).

Look at the states around Maryland with similar Black % - Louisiana, Georgia, SC, Alabama - These states Sanders got 19-26/27/28% of the votes. I would say take an average of 23-24%.

He is already @ 36% at MD without even campaigning much - We have seen that margins tend to go down in states where Sanders campaigns heavily. (there maybe some exceptions).

I think 40% is a realistic target & if he does very well in NY, he can get 43-44% in MD at best, which is tremendous. In a state, with say 60% of the Dem primary voters are say Black, crossing 40% is fairly decent.
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Shadows
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Posts: 4,956
« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2016, 01:19:35 PM »

Lief is a fraud though who lies a lot & slanders  - He has also made continually dumb statements  - So I dunno why he gets to call out someone.

If only this forum had an IQ test, a large section of the Clintonhacks wouldn't be here because let's face they are not the sharpest knives here. But it's okay - It's  a general forum - Smart people & dumb people could both debate.

Either ways 22 is not bad for Clinton (pretty decent margin - I mean would be happy) - It's not a blowout & nothing to be overjoyed considering the huge AA population should be worse for Sanders - If I was Sanders I would be happy with this result 2 weeks back which allows me a real chance to pull of a NC type result in a very hostile state demographically.

Everyone should be happy!
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