Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12 (user search)
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  Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marist/NBC4 MD Poll: Clinton +22 Trump +12  (Read 5985 times)
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xingkerui
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Posts: 30,303
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: April 12, 2016, 10:35:28 PM »

This is probably Kasich's best chance for a win, but he doesn't look all that competitive. I'm still kind of surprised Sanders isn't down by 30+ here, like he was before, but I guess the results could resemble VA or NC, and Sanders might not get absolutely pummeled like he did in the Deep South.
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xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2016, 11:20:04 AM »

Maryland could be considered a Southern state, but that doesn't mean AAs in the state will vote the same way they did in Alabama. This poll is suggesting Sanders might be at more like MI-level support with AAs in Maryland. He needs to better to make this race respectable at all, but as I've said before, it looks like the MD numbers will resemble VA or NC, and won't be the same kind of blowout for Clinton that the Deep South was.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2016, 01:53:41 PM »

Alright, so two pages debating whether or not Maryland is a Southern state... what does this have to do with the poll again?
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2016, 02:01:05 PM »

It means that Clinton isn't going to win Maryland AA's by the same margin as she won SC AA's.

Clearly she isn't, otherwise she'd be up by much more than 22. Also, even if Maryland is a Southern state, that doesn't mean it's just like Alabama. According to the geographic definition, Oklahoma is also a Southern state.
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