Election Infoboxes!

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The election America was supposed to have.

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2% swing to Democrats in the 2018 midterms from irl results.


Florida: Incumbent Bill Nelson(D) defeats Rick Scott(R)

Note; Ted Cruz wins by 0.6%.

Georgia 7: Carolyn Bourdeaux(D) defeats incumbent Rob Woodall(R)
Illinois 13: Betsy Dirksen Londrigan(D) defeats incumbent Rodney Davis(R)
Kansas 2: Paul Davis(D) defeats Steve Watkins(R)
Minnesota 1: Dan Feehan(D) defeats Jim Hagedorn(R)
Nebraska 2: Kara Eastman(D) defeats incumbent Don Bacon(R)
New York 27: Nate McMurray(D) defeats incumbent Chris Collins(R)
North Carolina 9 : Dan McCready(D) defeats Mark Harris(R)
Texas 23: Gina Ortiz Jones(D) defeats incumbent Will Hurd(R)


Florida: Andrew Gillum(D) defeats Ron DeSantis(R)

Note that in Georgia, while Stacey Abrams would receive a plurality in the general(49.8% to 49.2% for Kemp), she would not have gained a majority of the vote. I think that she would still have narrowly lost, just in the runoff.

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No Senate seats change from IOTL, though Sinema's win in Arizona is only by 0.4% ITTL.

California 21: Incumbent David Valadao(R) defeats TJ Cox(D)
Florida 26: Incumbent Carlos Curbelo(R) defeats Debbie Mucarsel Powell(D)
Georgia 6: Incumbent Karen Handel(R) defeats Lucy McBath(D)
Iowa 3: Incumbent David Young(R) defeats Cindy Axne(D)
Maine 2: Incumbent Bruce Poliquin(R) defeats Jared Golden(D)
New Mexico 2: Yvette Herrell(R) defeats Xochitl Torres Small(D)
New York 22: Incumbent Claudia Tenney(R) defeats Anthony Brindisi(D)
Oklahoma 5: Incumbent Steve Russell(R) defeats Kendra Horn(D)
South Carolina 1: Katie Arrington(R) defeats Joe Cunningham(D)
Utah 4: Incumbent Mia Love(R) defeats Ben McAdams(D)
Virginia 7: Incumbent Dave Brat(R) defeats Abigail Spanberger(D)

Wisconsin: Incumbent Scott Walker(R) defeats Tony Evers(D)

[Pericles]

No Comey letter

Notes
1-Clinton wins 307 electoral votes in the actual election to 231 for Trump, however there were a high number of faithless electors. 2 Clinton electors were faithless with 1 vote for Bernie Sanders and 1 vote for Faith Spotted Eagle. 5 Trump electors were faithless, with 3 Utah electors voting for Mitt Romney, 1 elector voting for John Kasich and 1 elector voting for Ron Paul.
2-The change from the OTL state results is Clinton wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida. In all other races the winner is the same.
3-In the Senate, Democrats flip Pennsylvania as well as their two OTL gains.
4-The changed House results from OTL are that Democrats win California 49th district, Nebraska 2nd district, Texas 23rd district and Minnesota 2nd district.

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Hypothetical UK scenario (not official prediction);
The 2019 UK general election was called following the successful no-confidence vote in Prime Minister Boris Johnson's government on 21 October, 2019, due to his stated policy of implementing the UK's exit from the European Union without a deal (following the breakdown in negotiations over his attempt to renegotiate the Brexit deal), as a dozen Conservative MPs voted with the opposition against the government. After Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn failed to form a government, an election was called with the EU agreeing to grant an extension to the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union until the end of 2019 following an act of parliament forcing the government to request an extension.

Prime Minister Johnson declared the election was the chance for Leave voters to "tell them again" and give the government a mandate for a no-deal Brexit. The Labour party's message on Brexit was muddled, with Corbyn in the first week of the campaign backtracking on the party's official position and suggesting that a referendum on a Brexit deal renegotiated by a Labour government could take place without Remain being an option on the ballot paper, and on the same day saying that a second referendum on Brexit was "a last resort" and implying it might not take place if he were elected. Following attacks from his own MPs on this stance, Corbyn later confirmed that Labour would implement a second referendum with Remain as an option on the ballot paper, but in the same press conference refused to state that Remain was preferable to any form of Brexit, again defying his party's own position. Two days later claiming he misunderstood the question and that he was "100% committed" to Remain and would back Remain over a deal his government negotiates, the party's policy, but came under fire as Liberal Democrat leader Jo Swinson said he "lacked credibility" on Brexit and said she "just can't see Jeremy having what it takes to be PM", while Johnson mocked Corbyn and saying "what he is saying is guaranteed to get us the worst possible deal from Brussels".

The Liberal Democrats, the Greens, and The Independent Group for Change split the pro-Remain vote, while the SNP gained ground in Scotland. The Brexit Party, which had appeared to be a threat to the Conservatives a few months earlier, collapsed in the polls over the course of the campaign and ultimately scored 4% of the vote. Campaign polls were highly volatile, but appeared to show a Conservative surge in the first few weeks, then a stall after the leaders debates which Corbyn was said to have won against Johnson. Final polls showed a range of outcomes from a Conservative lead of 5 points to a Labour lead of a similar margin, and of course many ties or statistical ties. The general expectation was a hung parliament, but after three consecutive polling misfires in UK-wide elections analysts were wary of making firm predictions.

At 10pm on election night, the BBC exit poll projected 330 Conservative seats, 225 Labour seats, 54 SNP seats and 16 LibDem seats, with The Independent Group for Change getting 2 seats (Change UK ultimately received only 1 seat and attained 3% of the vote). As results came in there was a wide range of swings across the country, with the Conservatives falling in London (despite Johnson having been Mayor of London for 8 years) and losing 8 seats there. However Labour suffered heavy swings against it in Northern England and lost many seats there, while failing to make up sufficient ground elsewhere in the country. By morning it was clear Labour would not form government but the Conservatives teetered on the edge of winning an outright parliamentary majority and falling just short.



Following the election, Jeremy Corbyn resigned as Labour leader and was replaced by Emily Thornberry. Labour's defeat was blamed on a poor campaign by Labour (as well as Johnson's superior campaign), a split in the anti-Brexit vote and Labour's muddled position on Brexit alienating both Remainers and Leavers. Labour also was unable to shift the debate towards austerity and public services and away from Brexit, as it had in 2017. The 2019 election victory for the Conservatives led to Britain's exit from the European Union without a deal at the end of 2019, a resulting economic downturn and ultimately the Conservative Party's defeat in 2024.

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Better Republican candidates in 2018 Senate races. GOP nominates Evan Jenkins in WV and Tim Fox runs and is nominated in MT.

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No 2010 UK election debates

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2018 midterms; Democrats win all races lost by 2% or less.


Florida: Incumbent Bill Nelson(D) defeats Rick Scott(R)


Georgia 7: Carolyn Bourdeaux(D) defeats incumbent Rob Woodall(R)
Illinois 13: Betsy Dirksen Londrigan(D) defeats incumbent Rodney Davis(R)
Kansas 2: Paul Davis(D) defeats Steve Watkins(R)
Minnesota 1: Dan Feehan(D) defeats Jim Hagedorn(R)
Nebraska 2: Kara Eastman(D) defeats incumbent Don Bacon(R)
New York 27: Nate McMurray(D) defeats incumbent Chris Collins(R)
North Carolina 9 : Dan McCready(D) defeats Mark Harris(R)*
Texas 23: Gina Ortiz Jones(D) defeats incumbent Will Hurd(R)


Florida: Andrew Gillum(D) defeats Ron DeSantis(R)

Note that in Georgia, while Stacey Abrams would receive a plurality in the general(49.8% to 49.2% for Kemp), she would not have gained a majority of the vote. I think that she would still have narrowly lost, just in the runoff.

*This may still end up being gained by the Democrats in the special election but here it is clear they won this seat in the midterm general election.

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2018 Ohio elections-Democrats gain 2% of the vote, Republicans lose 2% of the vote.






Democrat Zach Space wins State Auditor 48.3%-47.7% and a raw vote margin of 26,009 votes.
Ohio State Senate ends up 23 R-10 D, with Democrats gaining 1 seat (SD 19) from the irl results.

Democrats gain Districts 43 and 59 from irl.