General Election-Clinton vs. Cruz

[Wisconsin+17]

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Nonsense.

Republicans need to up the turnout of whites who are not college educated. If they voted like the college educated, all it would take is 66 percent support for the GOP to win.

That would win IA, FL, VA, OH, and NH.

Republicans get 358 electoral college votes if they can get 65 percent of white folks out with 77 percent turnout.

The real democrat firewall is:

WA, CA, NM, HI, IL, VT, NY, MA, NJ, CT, RI, DE, MD, and NJ.

That is 180 electoral votes that arent' going to swing.

[Wisconsin+17]

Say the Republicans split Black people, Hispanic people and Asian people.

Say they win college educated whites 53 percent to 47 percent.

The only demographic the democrats win is white people without a degree. They have 57 percent turnout and split 52 DEM 48 REP.

That wins the election for the democrats. The Republicans would lose even though they take FL, VA, NM and NV.

Democrats win with OH, PA, IA and CO.

[Wisconsin+17]

In fact if the Republicans get zero votes from minorities with no change to turnout, they can win every election with just 64 percent of white college educated people and 66 percent of those without a degree. That's with 78 percent turnout.