|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 03, 2020, 02:43:52 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NY-Monmouth Uni: Hillary+12  (Read 2472 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,638
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 11, 2016, 01:03:27 pm »

51-39 Hillary/Bernie

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/f0b0dbc3-0429-48fe-9e98-567137ad786d.pdf
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,638
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2016, 01:12:43 pm »

A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races).
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
LibertarianRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,522
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2016, 01:14:54 pm »

BERNIE WITHIN 15 POINTS, HE HAS A CHANCE TO CRUSH SHILLARY HARPY LADY
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,280


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2016, 01:15:59 pm »

A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races).

Awesome!
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,054
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2016, 01:20:33 pm »

A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races).

They've been pretty good so far I think.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,541
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2016, 01:22:01 pm »

Whites: Sanders +2 (48-46)
Non-whites: Clinton +40 (62-22)

Outside of the south, Clinton has generally held a +40 lead (70-30) with African Americans.  This result suggest that either Clinton is outperforming this number with New York blacks, or her performance with Hispanics matches her Florida and Texas performance rather than Nevada and Illinois.
Logged
YPestis25
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 874


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2016, 01:25:59 pm »

A new Marist/NBC poll will also be out later today (for both races).

PPP was also doing a New York poll this weekend, but I'm not sure when they're releasing it.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2016, 01:31:49 pm »

Very small sample size.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,520
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2016, 01:34:34 pm »

Yep, this is going to be a single digit race folks, though Clinton should win.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 43,521
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2016, 01:51:25 pm »

I hope this at least puts to bed the idea that this is going to look anything like Cuomo-Teachout in terms of the margin.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Administrator
Sr. Member
*****
Posts: 3,423
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 11, 2016, 02:42:04 pm »

New Poll: New York President by Monmouth University on 2016-04-10

Summary:
Clinton:
51%
Sanders:
39%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,106


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2016, 02:42:59 pm »

The issue is he is only at 35% in Manhattan/Bronx - and I bet the percentage in the Bronx alone is much lower. This is going to be a huge delegate haul for Hillary in those CD's.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,088
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2016, 02:48:05 pm »

The issue is he is only at 35% in Manhattan/Bronx - and I bet the percentage in the Bronx alone is much lower. This is going to be a huge delegate haul for Hillary in those CD's.

I imagine that the Bronx is what is bringing that number down to 35%. Sanders is going to get destroyed there, while I wouldn't be shocked if Manhattan is his closest borough.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,971
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2016, 02:55:58 pm »

Sanders may be able to keep Clinton to a 10-point win, at this rate, but he's not going to win.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 43,521
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2016, 03:11:31 pm »

Interestingly, Bernie's support is more solid in this poll (65%-56%).
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,520
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 11, 2016, 03:14:13 pm »

The issue is he is only at 35% in Manhattan/Bronx - and I bet the percentage in the Bronx alone is much lower. This is going to be a huge delegate haul for Hillary in those CD's.

I imagine that the Bronx is what is bringing that number down to 35%. Sanders is going to get destroyed there, while I wouldn't be shocked if Manhattan is his closest borough.

Nah, I think the boroughs break as follows:

Staten Island: 54-45 Sanders
Brooklyn: 52-47 Clinton
Manhattan: 55-44 Clinton
Queens: 60-39 Clinton
Bronx: 65-34 Clinton

Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2016, 05:52:22 pm »

Brooklyn is going to go massively for Clinton.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,501
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 11, 2016, 06:05:33 pm »

Interestingly, Bernie's support is more solid in this poll (65%-56%).

So this is another way in which this poll is different to the others, along with Sanders winning the white vote?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,958
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 12, 2016, 05:52:59 pm »

I hope this at least puts to bed the idea that this is going to look anything like Cuomo-Teachout in terms of the margin.

I've always thought it would be more like the 08 primary overall, but with massive regional swings. I have a strong feeling that the pollsters aren't screening well enough for this ultra restrictive closed primary, and that Hillary is going to outperform by at least a few points as a result. One of them even included independents!
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,958
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 19, 2016, 10:30:45 pm »

I hope this at least puts to bed the idea that this is going to look anything like Cuomo-Teachout in terms of the margin.

I've always thought it would be more like the 08 primary overall, but with massive regional swings. I have a strong feeling that the pollsters aren't screening well enough for this ultra restrictive closed primary, and that Hillary is going to outperform by at least a few points as a result. One of them even included independents!

I will now accept my accolades. Smiley
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.217 seconds with 14 queries.