Wow, shocking! He may win all but 3 or 4 CDs with this kind of lead!
Yeah, and like I said, I'll be surprised if he does not do really well in the western part of the state.
PA has some very odd delegate rules, where the winner gets 17 delegates and then the rest are unbound at the convention. Why even have an election if you are letting these establishment hacks decide for the voters? I would hope these unbound delegates respect the will of the people and back Trump.
If Trump romps both in PA and generally in the northeast the rest of the way (NJ is still to vote too), and if Kasich would kind of supplant Cruz (boy, that would be a bonus) it would be disastrous and ruinous if those delegates came in and said, "No, we don't like how you people voted, we're going to correct it and vote for someone significantly weaker." Which is why I think if Trump is sitting there with 1215 or 1220 or around 1200 he can take it.
He's doing well in Philadelphia proper too if you trust the crosstabs on that previous poll (which was much closer).
I was quite nervous about Kasich making PA-12 close, but I dunno, I guess I'm pretty optimistic now. A lot of Trump people made the ballot. Unfortunately, the first one alphabetically is a Cruz guy and another Cruz guy as a very non-controversial name. I was expecting Kasich over Cruz 2-1 in my count, but I may just change that to Trump 2-1.
I guess Lancaster would be the remaining logical place to visit. We have the octopus districts down here, so it's hard to be tactical, but it'd be good to ensure his supporters in the SE turn out.
