Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Gass3268]

Anyone else surprised that bernie isn't doing a little better in dane?

Nope

Wisconsin Primary Preview by Region Part 1

Dane County (Purple)

Democrats – Sanders is going to do well here, but as ElectionsGuy alluded to, Clinton will have areas of strength as well. I expect her to do well in the more well to do western parts of Madison and suburbs like Middleton or Verona. While I expect Sanders to run behind Obama’s 08 margin, he should dominate around the University of Wisconsin-Madison and the Isthmus. Do not be shocked if he breaks 80% in some of the precincts east of the Capitol on the Isthmus He should also do well in the more middle class/blue collar eastern parts of the city and the surrounding countryside/suburbs. Yuge Sanders.

[Gass3268]

Looking at the map I would not be shocked in Clinton only wins Milwaukee County.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Jeff Zeleny said the Clinton camp is growing impatient with Sanders and she wants to pivot to the general election so she is about to really go after his gun record his "pie in the sky" policies, etc., and cause him to lose legitimacy by defeating him in upcoming states.

You mean like the complete opposite of this?

[MT Treasurer]

Uh, why are Democrats so surprised that Bradley won? Republican turnout was higher than Democratic turnout, with more ballots being cast in the GOP primary:

827438 (52%)
765074 (48%)   (That's with 79% reporting on the GOP side and 81% reporting on the Democratic side)

And the numbers for the Supreme Court race so far: 53% Bradley, 47% Kloppenburg

So, not exactly shocking.

[MasterJedi]

Kloppenburg campaign manager on local TMJ4 sounds like a moron. Trying to remain hopeful but can't really can't say much lol

[catographer]

Sanders' victory in Wisconsin could be seen a mile away, and the details in his victory look to follow very much what has happened so far. Wisconsin appears to have the same results as Michigan and Illinois, however the Detroit and Chicago metro areas were big enough to keep Sanders close in Michigan and have him lose narrowly in Illinois. Without those big metro areas, Wisconsin is Sanders country. Milwaukee isn't big enough for Clinton, and you have a Sanders sweep of nearly all counties, winning 60% in many down the middle but only 50% in the vast majority.

[Gass3268]

Sanders' victory in Wisconsin could be seen a mile away, and the details in his victory look to follow very much what has happened so far. Wisconsin appears to have the same results as Michigan and Illinois, however the Detroit and Chicago metro areas were big enough to keep Sanders close in Michigan and have him lose narrowly in Illinois. Without those big metro areas, Wisconsin is Sanders country. Milwaukee isn't big enough for Clinton, and you have a Sanders sweep of nearly all counties, winning 60% in many down the middle but only 50% in the vast majority.

Yet she's only winning Milwaukee County by 2%. That's embarrassing. Obama won it 63-35 in 08.

[Wiz in Wis]

Sanders' victory in Wisconsin could be seen a mile away, and the details in his victory look to follow very much what has happened so far. Wisconsin appears to have the same results as Michigan and Illinois, however the Detroit and Chicago metro areas were big enough to keep Sanders close in Michigan and have him lose narrowly in Illinois. Without those big metro areas, Wisconsin is Sanders country. Milwaukee isn't big enough for Clinton, and you have a Sanders sweep of nearly all counties, winning 60% in many down the middle but only 50% in the vast majority.

So, clearly Sanders will easily win NY. LOL.

[Dr. Arch]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

[Wiz in Wis]

Looking at the map I would not be shocked in Clinton only wins Milwaukee County.

Hillary seems likely to win both Burnett and Polk Counties in NW... Actually won them last time too. They love Hills in the St Croix River basin.

[izixs]

Uh, why are Democrats so surprised that Bradley won? Republican turnout was higher than Democratic turnout, with more ballots being cast in the GOP primary:

827438 (52%)
765074 (48%)   (That's with 79% reporting on the GOP side and 81% reporting on the Democratic side)

And the numbers for the Supreme Court race so far: 53% Bradley, 47% Kloppenburg

So, not exactly shocking.

Thank you. Simply raging against college kids will not win you elections in the long run. If the dems are going to secure the states, they need to get their voters out. Imagine the margins if there had not been a competitive democratic primary this year? Would people be raging at Hillary for this loss? Probably not.

[catographer]

Sanders' victory in Wisconsin could be seen a mile away, and the details in his victory look to follow very much what has happened so far. Wisconsin appears to have the same results as Michigan and Illinois, however the Detroit and Chicago metro areas were big enough to keep Sanders close in Michigan and have him lose narrowly in Illinois. Without those big metro areas, Wisconsin is Sanders country. Milwaukee isn't big enough for Clinton, and you have a Sanders sweep of nearly all counties, winning 60% in many down the middle but only 50% in the vast majority.

So, clearly Sanders will easily win NY. LOL.

What do you mean? (no sass please -.-) New York has different demographics, and the geography of the state suggests a different outcome. The metro NYC area looks very favorable to Clinton, so regardless of the outcome of the rest of the state that alone suggests she would win New York. As for the rest of it, I'd imagine Sanders winning strongly in the Adirondack region near Vermont and competitive or winning in western Upstate New York. Clinton should do well in Buffalo and Rochester, while Sanders should do well in Ithaca and perhaps Albany.

My point is that looking at the geography of results so far can tell us a great deal about the states that haven't voted. Geographic patterns help in our predictions, and Wisconsin followed my personal geographic expectations exactly.

[Wiz in Wis]

Sanders' victory in Wisconsin could be seen a mile away, and the details in his victory look to follow very much what has happened so far. Wisconsin appears to have the same results as Michigan and Illinois, however the Detroit and Chicago metro areas were big enough to keep Sanders close in Michigan and have him lose narrowly in Illinois. Without those big metro areas, Wisconsin is Sanders country. Milwaukee isn't big enough for Clinton, and you have a Sanders sweep of nearly all counties, winning 60% in many down the middle but only 50% in the vast majority.

So, clearly Sanders will easily win NY. LOL.

What do you mean? (no sass please -.-) New York has different demographics, and the geography of the state suggests a different outcome. The metro NYC area looks very favorable to Clinton, so regardless of the outcome of the rest of the state that alone suggests she would win New York. As for the rest of it, I'd imagine Sanders winning strongly in the Adirondack region near Vermont and competitive or winning in western Upstate New York. Clinton should do well in Buffalo and Rochester, while Sanders should do well in Ithaca and perhaps Albany.

My point is that looking at the geography of results so far can tell us a great deal about the states that haven't voted. Geographic patterns help in our predictions, and Wisconsin followed my personal geographic expectations exactly.

Sorry, I was being sarcastic. I was pointing out that demographics have pretty much nailed the dem race thus far, but Bernie fans keep acting like a decent win in a state where they should get a decent win is an amazing come from behind victory.

[Blue3]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

Don't you have term limits? He's been in there since 2010.

[Gass3268]

Looking at the map I would not be shocked in Clinton only wins Milwaukee County.

Hillary seems likely to win both Burnett and Polk Counties in NW... Actually won them last time too. They love Hills in the St Croix River basin.

Polk flipped hard after I made that prediction, lol. Burnett is still closish. Marinette County will be close too.  

[Xing]

Uh, why are Democrats so surprised that Bradley won? Republican turnout was higher than Democratic turnout, with more ballots being cast in the GOP primary:

827438 (52%)
765074 (48%)   (That's with 79% reporting on the GOP side and 81% reporting on the Democratic side)

And the numbers for the Supreme Court race so far: 53% Bradley, 47% Kloppenburg

So, not exactly shocking.

Thank you. Simply raging against college kids will not win you elections in the long run. If the dems are going to secure the states, they need to get their voters out. Imagine the margins if there had not been a competitive democratic primary this year? Would people be raging at Hillary for this loss? Probably not.

Yeah, I know people love to hate on Sanders supporters, particularly the younger ones, but I don't think we can throw all the blame for this at their feet. And simply getting mad at them won't solve anything.

[Gass3268]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

Don't you have term limits? He's been in there since 2010.

Nope, he can be Governor as long as Wisconsin wants him to be. Hell Tommy Thompson might still be Governor today if Bush didn't appoint him to be the HHS Secretary.

[Xing]

The race was just called for Bradley. Wisconsin continues to be a freedom state at the federal level, but a horrible state at the local level.

[MasterJedi]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

Don't you have term limits? He's been in there since 2010.

No undemocratic term limits.

[Dr. Arch]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

Don't you have term limits? He's been in there since 2010.

NO... and he would've gotten rid of them if there would have been any in much the same way he got rid of the Government Accountability Board and changed the John Doe laws. He's a plague.

[Vosem]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

President Clinton is going to give us every branch of the Wisconsin government and control of redistricting there on a silver platter.

[Dr. Arch]

The race was just called for Bradley. Wisconsin continues to be a freedom state at the federal level, but a horrible state at the local level.

HHHHHS. I envy you, Washingtonian.

[Gass3268]

Clinton won Burnett County. I'm guessing she'll get 3 now.

[Stockdale for Veep]

If Walker is reelected in 2018, I will be officially done with this state.

President Clinton is going to give us every branch of the Wisconsin government and control of redistricting there on a silver platter.

Sad but true.

Of course a 5-4 SCOTUS vote to end partisan gerrymandering could have happened by then. (wakes up)

[Matty]

so did clinton really win 75% of black vote?