CA SurveyUSA: Clinton +14, Trump +8 (user search)
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  CA SurveyUSA: Clinton +14, Trump +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA SurveyUSA: Clinton +14, Trump +8  (Read 3962 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« on: April 04, 2016, 06:42:50 PM »

But didnt Silver say Cruz would win here/ sarc


Maybe if Kasich's support melts away Cruz can win. Hard to see these voters going for TRUMP.

I think people may be surprised, the Kasich voters I know lean more towards Trump than Cruz.

also didnt Trump just claim today or yesterday that Kasich was hurting him?

There's no need to rely on anecdote for this though, when we have several polls that test a hypothetical 2-man race.  Most polls I've seen show that Kasich voters have a more favorable opinion of Cruz than Trump.  And when you poll the 2-man race, most of the polls show that more Kasich voters go to Cruz than Trump.
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2016, 06:43:19 AM »

Crosstabs:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4114a2c6-213f-4447-8c7b-eb137d8c3312

Dems:
age 18-34: Sanders +16%
age 35-49: Sanders +6%
age 50-64: Clinton +42%
age 65+: Clinton +36%
whites: Clinton +6%
blacks: Clinton +44%
Hispanics: Clinton +11%
Asians: Clinton +36%
Central Valley: Clinton +29%
Greater L.A.: Sanders +1%
Inland Empire: Clinton +38%
Bay Area: Clinton +9%

GOP:
age 18-34: Cruz +2% over Kasich
age 35-49: Trump +9% over Cruz
age 50-64: Trump +30% over Cruz
age 65+: Trump +3% over Cruz
whites: Trump +11% over Cruz
blacks: no data because #s are too small
Hispanics: Cruz +15% over Trump
Asians: Trump +29% over Cruz
Central Valley: Trump +13% over Cruz
Greater L.A.: Trump +15% over Cruz
Inland Empire: Cruz +13% over Trump
Bay Area: Kasich +7% over Trump
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2016, 07:59:49 AM »

For some reason, my previous post is invisible to me unless I click on my profile, so I'll try again:

Crosstabs:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4114a2c6-213f-4447-8c7b-eb137d8c3312

Dems:
age 18-34: Sanders +16%
age 35-49: Sanders +6%
age 50-64: Clinton +42%
age 65+: Clinton +36%
whites: Clinton +6%
blacks: Clinton +44%
Hispanics: Clinton +11%
Asians: Clinton +36%
Central Valley: Clinton +29%
Greater L.A.: Sanders +1%
Inland Empire: Clinton +38%
Bay Area: Clinton +9%

GOP:
age 18-34: Cruz +2% over Kasich
age 35-49: Trump +9% over Cruz
age 50-64: Trump +30% over Cruz
age 65+: Trump +3% over Cruz
whites: Trump +11% over Cruz
blacks: no data because #s are too small
Hispanics: Cruz +15% over Trump
Asians: Trump +29% over Cruz
Central Valley: Trump +13% over Cruz
Greater L.A.: Trump +15% over Cruz
Inland Empire: Cruz +13% over Trump
Bay Area: Kasich +7% over Trump

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