FINAL EMERSON WI POLL: Cruz +5, Sanders +8 (user search)
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  FINAL EMERSON WI POLL: Cruz +5, Sanders +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FINAL EMERSON WI POLL: Cruz +5, Sanders +8  (Read 4799 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« on: April 04, 2016, 12:52:15 AM »

Dems

Sanders 51%
Clinton 43%

GOP

Cruz 40%
Trump 35%
Kasich 21%
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 04, 2016, 01:10:31 AM »

Trump leads in CD2 and CD3, Cruz/Kasich tie in CD4, Cruz leads in all other CDs.
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 04, 2016, 08:37:10 AM »

Trump leads in CD2 and CD3, Cruz/Kasich tie in CD4, Cruz leads in all other CDs.


Surprising Trump is trailing in WI-07. That was slotted to be his best CD. But then the Wausau area (a major population center in the district) is heavily German, and the area quite religious, and thus perhaps "socially connected" rather than anomic, and thus more immune to Trump's siren song. And presumably St. Croix (another population node) has a Scandinavian flavor to it.

With 8 congressional districts in the state, the MoE on each individual CD is going to be huge.  The CD crosstabs are fun, but I wouldn't treat them as gospel.
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