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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  Animation of 1964-2012 presidential margin by state, adjusted by US margin
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Author Topic: Animation of 1964-2012 presidential margin by state, adjusted by US margin  (Read 1910 times)
Mallow
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« on: April 02, 2016, 09:44:40 pm »

I created and uploaded a video to YouTube. The description under the video, reproduced below, describes the methodology used:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsOlhNWbe1U

States are colored by the margin of victory (Democratic minus Republican voting percentage) for each state, after correcting for the US margin of victory for that election year. For example, in 2012, Pennsylvania had a value of +1.52%, meaning Pennsylvania's margin was 1.52% more Democratic than the national margin. The colors range from lighter (smaller margin) to darker (larger margin) for both Republicans (red) and Democrats (blue), and correspond to bands ranging from 0%-5%, 5%-10%, 10%-15%, 15%-20%, 20%-30%, and greater than 30%, respectively.

Data are from Dave Leip's Atlas (https://uselectionatlas.org/). Maps made at mapchart (http://mapchart.net/usa.html).
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JohnathanOHughes
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2016, 04:01:10 pm »

Cool.
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Mallow
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2016, 07:59:13 am »

Glad you guys like it. Smiley
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msnmllr
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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2016, 05:22:57 pm »

Good job!
It was definitely bizarre to see the Murican colorization of the parties, but it was interesting to say the least.
You should maybe include Perot in 1992, too
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Mallow
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« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2016, 06:30:49 am »

Good job!
It was definitely bizarre to see the Murican colorization of the parties, but it was interesting to say the least.
You should maybe include Perot in 1992, too

Thanks! I went with the more standard [modern] colorization.
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avashi
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« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2016, 10:40:02 am »

That's very interesting! 270towin.com also has a margin map similar yours. Check that out if you can!
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