WI-PPP: Sanders leads Clinton by 6, Cruz and Trump virtually tied. (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 09:05:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  WI-PPP: Sanders leads Clinton by 6, Cruz and Trump virtually tied. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WI-PPP: Sanders leads Clinton by 6, Cruz and Trump virtually tied.  (Read 3739 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,847
Greece


« on: March 31, 2016, 11:43:47 AM »

Clinton is ahead with Democrats 50-42.
If she wins by such a comfortable margin in lily white Wisconsin then I doubt that she wins them in her home state by only 12. 
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,847
Greece


« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2016, 02:48:30 PM »

Clinton is ahead with Democrats 50-42.
If she wins by such a comfortable margin in lily white Wisconsin then I doubt that she wins them in her home state by only 12. 
There's a caveat: Closed primaries encourage independents to register as Democrats or Republicans, which would potentially make New York Democrats more favorable to Sanders than they otherwise would be.

Still, its pretty clear that closed primaries favor Clinton regardless, but its probably not as much as exit polling showing Clinton dominating with Democrats would suggest.

I answered that elsewhere: the 2008 exit poll shows that just 12% of New York Democratic primary voters declared that they were "independents".
Much fewer than the 30-35% who usually take part in open primaries.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 13 queries.