WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10
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  WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10
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Author Topic: WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10  (Read 12594 times)
PeteB
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« Reply #25 on: March 30, 2016, 12:32:05 PM »

Net Favorability Ratings (Favorable minus Unfavorable) from worst to best:

Donald Trump (R):    - 48.6 %
Hillary Clinton (D):    - 23.5 %
Ted Cruz (R):            - 18.5 %
Bernie Sanders (D):  +  6.2 %
John Kasich (R):       +13.5 %

I would say that Trump's campaign is RIP, as of this moment.

I also still believe that the only people who could become President, from this list, are Clinton and Kasich.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #26 on: March 30, 2016, 12:35:30 PM »

Net Favorability Ratings (Favorable minus Unfavorable) from worst to best:

Donald Trump (R):    - 48.6 %
Hillary Clinton (D):    - 23.5 %
Ted Cruz (R):            - 18.5 %
Bernie Sanders (D):  +  6.2 %
John Kasich (R):       +13.5 %

I would say that Trump's campaign is RIP, as of this moment.

I also still believe that the only people who could become President, from this list, are Clinton and Kasich.

There are a ton of people who don't like Clinton, do like Sanders, and are voting Clinton anyways. #FeeltheBern.
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Skye
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« Reply #27 on: March 30, 2016, 12:38:19 PM »

Imagine if Trump manages to lose by more than 10 points...
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PeteB
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« Reply #28 on: March 30, 2016, 12:42:40 PM »

Net Favorability Ratings (Favorable minus Unfavorable) from worst to best:

Donald Trump (R):    - 48.6 %
Hillary Clinton (D):    - 23.5 %
Ted Cruz (R):            - 18.5 %
Bernie Sanders (D):  +  6.2 %
John Kasich (R):       +13.5 %

I would say that Trump's campaign is RIP, as of this moment.

I also still believe that the only people who could become President, from this list, are Clinton and Kasich.

There are a ton of people who don't like Clinton, do like Sanders, and are voting Clinton anyways. #FeeltheBern.

No question about it.  Clinton has taken pains not to offend the Sanders supporters (too much Smiley), knowing she will need them in the GE.  And her "I am not a one-issue candidate" is getting traction with Democratic Primary voters.
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PeteB
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« Reply #29 on: March 30, 2016, 12:43:49 PM »

Imagine if Trump manages to lose by more than 10 points...

Or, if he finishes third, which I think is a real possibility.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #30 on: March 30, 2016, 12:45:03 PM »

Well my vote will be for Kasich, wondering if I should switch and vote for Clinton instead. If Sanders only wins by 4 or so it's pretty humiliating for him, and a reason we should abolish the caucus.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #31 on: March 30, 2016, 12:47:46 PM »

Well my vote will be for Kasich, wondering if I should switch and vote for Clinton instead. If Sanders only wins by 4 or so it's pretty humiliating for him, and a reason we should abolish the caucus.

Not sure what you're getting at other than the concept that caucuses alone are the reason Sanders is still in this (which I agree with btw).
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #32 on: March 30, 2016, 12:48:28 PM »

Imagine if Trump manages to lose by more than 10 points...

Or, if he finishes third, which I think is a real possibility.

From your lips to God's ears.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #33 on: March 30, 2016, 12:48:34 PM »

Well my vote will be for Kasich, wondering if I should switch and vote for Clinton instead. If Sanders only wins by 4 or so it's pretty humiliating for him, and a reason we should abolish the caucus.

Vote for whichever race seems closer by Election Day. Right now it's looking to be the Dem race.
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Potus
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« Reply #34 on: March 30, 2016, 12:56:26 PM »

How many delegates are WTA in Wisconsin?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #35 on: March 30, 2016, 12:59:00 PM »

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll  7m7 minutes ago
Support by region: Cruz does best in Milwaukee media market. Trump is strongest in north and west parts of the state. #mulawpoll

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll  6m6 minutes ago
Kasich is strongest in Madison market, followed by Milwaukee. Trump does better than Cruz in Madison market. #mulawpoll

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll  4m4 minutes ago
Trump still strongest in north and west WI, but Cruz has made major in-roads, Franklin says. #mulawpoll
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Xing
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« Reply #36 on: March 30, 2016, 01:01:34 PM »

Why are Republicans so happy? Shouldn't they be hoping Kasich wins here and not Cruz? Cruz is hardly more electable than Trump. On the Democratic side, I'll be surprised if Sanders does any worse than this, and he'll probably do better.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #37 on: March 30, 2016, 01:05:17 PM »

Walker at 43/53 approval rating (it was 39/55 in February).
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Fargobison
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« Reply #38 on: March 30, 2016, 01:13:13 PM »

Why are Republicans so happy? Shouldn't they be hoping Kasich wins here and not Cruz? Cruz is hardly more electable than Trump. On the Democratic side, I'll be surprised if Sanders does any worse than this, and he'll probably do better.

This poll seems to show Cruz is much more electable then Trump, I don't get this narrative anymore. Women voters hate Trump and this poll reflects that.

I am more of a Kasich fan then Cruz but for Kasich to be nominee it would take an ugly convention fight and I am not sure if he could recover from that.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #39 on: March 30, 2016, 01:13:56 PM »

Why are Republicans so happy? Shouldn't they be hoping Kasich wins here and not Cruz? Cruz is hardly more electable than Trump. On the Democratic side, I'll be surprised if Sanders does any worse than this, and he'll probably do better.

They're losers who thinks widely-loathed Cheatin' Ted is a perfectly acceptable nominee but Big Donald isn't.

Joke's on them since Roger Stone will soon definitively prove that Cheatin' Ted hasn't been so "Christian" when it comes to his marriage vows!
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Fargobison
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« Reply #40 on: March 30, 2016, 01:14:35 PM »

MKE Co.+Cty:
Cruz - 53%
Kasich - 22%
Trump - 15%

MKE MKT
Cruz - 43%
Kasich - 21%
Trump - 27%

Madison MKT:
Cruz - 16%
Kasich - 37%
Trump - 33%

GB Market:
Cruz - 41%
Kasich - 15%
Trump - 32%

Rest:
Cruz - 40
Kasich - 17
Trump - 41
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #41 on: March 30, 2016, 01:19:33 PM »

MKE Co.+Cty:
Cruz - 53%
Kasich - 22%
Trump - 15%

MKE MKT
Cruz - 43%
Kasich - 21%
Trump - 27%

Madison MKT:
Cruz - 16%
Kasich - 37%
Trump - 33%

GB Market:
Cruz - 41%
Kasich - 15%
Trump - 32%

Rest:
Cruz - 40
Kasich - 17
Trump - 41

Looks like Ted wins CD 1, 4, 5, 6, and 8. Kasich may win CD 2, Trump might win CD 3 and 7.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #42 on: March 30, 2016, 01:24:29 PM »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Marquette Law School on 2016-03-28

Summary:
Cruz:
40%
Trump:
30%
Kasich:
21%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #43 on: March 30, 2016, 01:26:03 PM »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Marquette Law School on 2016-03-28

Summary:
Sanders:
49%
Clinton:
45%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #44 on: March 30, 2016, 01:29:03 PM »

Marquette is the gold standard in WI.

...and Selzer is the gold standard in Iowa.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #45 on: March 30, 2016, 01:29:04 PM »

MKE Co.+Cty:
Cruz - 53%
Kasich - 22%
Trump - 15%

MKE MKT
Cruz - 43%
Kasich - 21%
Trump - 27%

Madison MKT:
Cruz - 16%
Kasich - 37%
Trump - 33%

GB Market:
Cruz - 41%
Kasich - 15%
Trump - 32%

Rest:
Cruz - 40
Kasich - 17
Trump - 41

Looks like Ted wins CD 1, 4, 5, 6, and 8. Kasich may win CD 2, Trump might win CD 3 and 7.
Decent synergy between Cruz and Kasich here.  Where Cruz is weakest, Kasich may surpass Trump.
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madelka
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« Reply #46 on: March 30, 2016, 01:41:29 PM »

Why are all the Sanders supporters happy about this poll? Sanders needs to win WI by at least 15 points to stand a 0.1% chance of winning the nomination.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #47 on: March 30, 2016, 01:42:49 PM »

Wow, Sanders is actually winning Milwaukee County in this poll.
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Shadows
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« Reply #48 on: March 30, 2016, 01:46:48 PM »

Sanders 46 percent, Kasich 44 percent.
(Not asked previously.)

Sanders 52 percent, Cruz 39 percent.
(February: Sanders 53 percent, Cruz 35 percent.)

Sanders 54 percent, Trump 35 percent.
(February: Sanders 54 percent, Trump 34 percent.)

Kasich 48 percent, Clinton 39 percent.
(Not asked previously)

Clinton 44 percent, Cruz 44 percent.
(January: Clinton 43 percent, Cruz 43 percent.)

Clinton 47 percent, Trump 37 percent.
(February: Clinton 47 percent, Trump 37 percent.)
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #49 on: March 30, 2016, 01:48:52 PM »

Why are all the Sanders supporters happy about this poll? Sanders needs to win WI by at least 15 points to stand a 0.1% chance of winning the nomination.

People are happy about the Cruz numbers.
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