PPP Shows Clinton and TRUMP ahead.
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  PPP Shows Clinton and TRUMP ahead.
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Author Topic: PPP Shows Clinton and TRUMP ahead.  (Read 2736 times)
CapoteMonster
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« on: March 29, 2016, 10:38:31 AM »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/03/trump-most-acceptable-candidate-to-gop-clinton-leads-comfortably.html

Trump has the highest favorability rating among GOP voters at 51-40.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2016, 10:42:26 AM »
« Edited: March 29, 2016, 10:44:18 AM by Sorenroy »

Candidate — Polling (Favorable-Unfavorable, Net)

Trump — 42% (51-40, 11)
Cruz — 32% (49-39, 10)
Kasich — 22% (44-41, 3)

Clinton — 54% (63-27, 36)
Sanders — 36% (64-21, 43)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_32916.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2016, 10:45:29 AM »

The GOP numbers make sense (I don't buy the other polls that have Trump close to 50%, 40-45 makes more sense), the DEM numbers are a bit too pro-Clinton. I think it's better to average the NBC and this poll and we get Clinton+12, which is where the race should be nationally after Bernie's recent momentum.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2016, 10:45:44 AM »

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I'd really like to know what sort of candidate and policies those 7% of voters want.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2016, 10:47:48 AM »

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I'd really like to know what sort of candidate and policies those 7% of voters want.

David Duke?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2016, 10:49:37 AM »

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I'd really like to know what sort of candidate and policies those 7% of voters want.

I'm sure there are still plenty of voters out there with no idea of who Ted Cruz is.  They hear the name Cruz, figure that Hispanic must mean liberal, and respond to the poll accordingly.  Tongue
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Matty
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2016, 10:52:38 AM »

numbers make sense on R side.

and on d side, probably. clinton is  leading already among voters 58-40
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2016, 10:56:01 AM »

National numbers are pretty useless at this point. I wonder if PPP had some extra time on their hands or something. Only a few states matter on the Democratic side at this point, the ones voting on April 19 and 26, and the ones voting on June 7.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2016, 10:58:16 AM »

numbers make sense on R side.

and on d side, probably. clinton is  leading already among voters 58-40

It's 57-41 in the states that already voted.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #9 on: March 29, 2016, 11:01:47 AM »

Trump has the highest favorables of any republican running?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #10 on: March 29, 2016, 11:20:36 AM »

Trump has the highest favorables of any republican running?

Strange reality we live in, huh?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #11 on: March 29, 2016, 03:14:49 PM »

Candidate — Polling (Favorable-Unfavorable, Net)

Trump — 42% (51-40, 11)
Cruz — 32% (49-39, 10)
Kasich — 22% (44-41, 3)

Clinton — 54% (63-27, 36)
Sanders — 36% (64-21, 43)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_32916.pdf

More Republicans disapprove of Kasich than Cruz or Trump?

wt actual f
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #12 on: March 29, 2016, 03:19:29 PM »

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I'd really like to know what sort of candidate and policies those 7% of voters want.

LOL, maybe Lyin' Ted can run as moderate Republican in 2020 and a Liberal RINO in 2024.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: March 29, 2016, 03:21:07 PM »

Bear in mind that PPP consistently finds high unfavorables across the board.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: March 29, 2016, 03:27:43 PM »

This is widely inconsistent with other polling data and doesn't make sense when you match it up with general election polling.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #15 on: March 29, 2016, 03:38:54 PM »

This is widely inconsistent with other polling data and doesn't make sense when you match it up with general election polling.

Huh?  Most national polls have Trump leading by around 10 points, and he's up by about 10 points in actual votes so far.  
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: March 29, 2016, 03:45:09 PM »

This is widely inconsistent with other polling data and doesn't make sense when you match it up with general election polling.

Huh?  Most national polls have Trump leading by around 10 points, and he's up by about 10 points in actual votes so far.  

I'm more talking about the favorability ratings, which really don't bear out, but the Democratic race is much closer than that. Of the states that have already voted, disproportionately southern, its 57-41 Clinton. It would make sense that when its all said and done its going to be more like 55-44 Clinton, so the 18 point gap is too large.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #17 on: March 29, 2016, 03:48:17 PM »

I'm more talking about the favorability ratings, which really don't bear out,

General election favorability ratings can be VERY different than likely primary voter favorability. I think it is entirely plausible that Trump has the highest GOP primary favorables and Kasich the lowest, while the reverse is true nationally.
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Holmes
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« Reply #18 on: March 29, 2016, 04:06:08 PM »

This is widely inconsistent with other polling data and doesn't make sense when you match it up with general election polling.

Huh?  Most national polls have Trump leading by around 10 points, and he's up by about 10 points in actual votes so far.  

I'm more talking about the favorability ratings, which really don't bear out, but the Democratic race is much closer than that. Of the states that have already voted, disproportionately southern, its 57-41 Clinton. It would make sense that when its all said and done its going to be more like 55-44 Clinton, so the 18 point gap is too large.

It's going to expand a little bit soon, especially after New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland vote. California, while being a state Clinton will carry, will probably narrow the margin a bit at the end because I don't think she'll carry it with 60% of the vote. Ultimately, I can see a 17-18% margin in the popular vote.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: March 29, 2016, 04:07:26 PM »

Candidate — Polling (Favorable-Unfavorable, Net)

Trump — 42% (51-40, 11)
Cruz — 32% (49-39, 10)
Kasich — 22% (44-41, 3)

Clinton — 54% (63-27, 36)
Sanders — 36% (64-21, 43)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_32916.pdf

More Republicans disapprove of Kasich than Cruz or Trump?

wt actual f

A serious reminder - this is Republicans we are talking about.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #20 on: March 29, 2016, 05:54:13 PM »

Candidate — Polling (Favorable-Unfavorable, Net)

Clinton — 54% (63-27, 36)
Sanders — 36% (64-21, 43)

Are these favorability ratings among only Democrats and Dem-leaners? For both Hillary and Bernie, these are like 20 points lower ratings than what other polls have been showing amongst Dems + Dem-leaners.
Likely Democratic voters, probably.

PPP always shows very high unfavorable ratings.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #21 on: March 29, 2016, 11:05:09 PM »

Those 7% of Republicans who think Cruz is a liberal must be those fringe far-right neo-nazi types.
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jfern
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« Reply #22 on: March 29, 2016, 11:31:08 PM »

Nice try, PPP.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #23 on: March 30, 2016, 05:37:25 AM »

Candidate — Polling (Favorable-Unfavorable, Net)

Trump — 42% (51-40, 11)
Cruz — 32% (49-39, 10)
Kasich — 22% (44-41, 3)

Clinton — 54% (63-27, 36)
Sanders — 36% (64-21, 43)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_32916.pdf

More Republicans disapprove of Kasich than Cruz or Trump?

wt actual f

Should be noted that both Fox and Quinnipiac had national polls out last week, which were very different, but both had Cruz with better favorability among Republicans than Trump does:

Fox:
Cruz +26
Trump +14
Kasich +13

Quinnipiac:
Kasich +43
Cruz +36
Trump +30

Either the candidates' favorability is changing rapidly, or one or more of these polls is wrong (or else "favorability" is very sensitive to question wording).
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #24 on: March 30, 2016, 06:11:15 AM »

Some more Republican numbers:

Cruz favorability margin among…
Kasich supporters: -36%
Trump supporters: -24%

Kasich favorability margin among…
Cruz supporters: -3%
Trump supporters: -27%

Trump favorability margin among…
Cruz supporters: -31%
Kasich supporters: -60% (lol)

2-way matchups:

Trump 46%
Cruz 44%

Trump 52%
Kasich 40%

Cruz 48%
Kasich 36%

Was Barack Obama born in the US?
yes 36%
no 40%
not sure 24%

Is Barack Obama a Christian or a Muslim?
Muslim 52%
Christian 20%
not sure 28%

Should Muslims be allowed to serve in the US military?
yes 49%
no 32%
not sure 19%
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