CA-USC/LA Times: Clinton+8

[Tender Branson]

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-latimes-democratic-primary-poll-20160328-story.html

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Two rather interesting things here. One is that Bernie is at a lower percentage with whites than non whites. The second is that another candidate gets 7%.

[Desroko]

Two rather interesting things here. One is that Bernie is at a lower percentage with whites than non whites. The second is that another candidate gets 7%.

I don't expect the results to reflect either of those in the end.

[Mr. Morden]

Another Candidate '16!

[Landslide Lyndon]

Another Candidate '16!

I think it's the home state effect for Rocky DelaFuente!

[Volrath50]

The second is that another candidate gets 7%.

Maybe they were Trump voters that were confused about how the primary system works?

[Bojack Horseman]

California is a minority-majority state. Despite it being a bastion of far-left liberalism, I think Hillary can and will carry the state, probably narrowly.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Bernie will win this in the end.

[standwrand]

Go Bernie!

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

California youth turnout should be atrociously abysmal as usual, and should stifle Sanders' big margins with those age groups. The crusty olds and browns will hand Clinton a solid 8-12 point victory.

[Shadows]

I am 99% sure that Sanders will win CA - I am more sure of winning CA than even WI, IN, Kentucky or West Virginia.

But I have exhausted the free coverage so people need to post the break-up - Age wise break-up of total votes - Minority-Majority break-up - Sample Size - Survey methodology.

Unless those are studied, it is ridiculous to even comment on the poll - May or may not be junk

[Vosem]

Guys, even if Bernie does pull out a win here (which there is significant reason to doubt, considering Hillary's wins in states with similar primary electorates), the key point is that Democratic primaries are proportional and he's not going to gain many net delegates here even if he does win. This isn't the GOP race; this isn't WTA or even WTA-by-CD.

Incidentally, the SoCal/NorCal differentiation in this race is going to be stark.

[A Perez]

Clinton's lead is 11% among likely voters.Bloomberg is reporting LV numbers instead of registered voters, as it should be. http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2016-03-28/clinton-47-sanders-36-in-california-primary-l-a-times-poll

[Landslide Lyndon]

80% of Sanders supporters will vote for Clinton in November.
So much for Berniebots' threats that they will vote TRUMP or stay home.

[Shadows]

Sanders' Net Favorability is 46 among Latinos & 10 among Whites.

Clinton's Net Favorability is 42 among Latinos & -11 among Whites.

Sanders has considerable ground to gain among Latinos & he can do it with his surprisingly high favorability ratings. Trump is at -78 with 87% holding a negative view!

Another thing is it seems younger latinos have a much larger share than whites - meaning older latinos don't have a high voting %. Not bad for Sanders

I am not sure how reliable the poll is - They asked a lot of questions but it was a bit biased towards Clinton, Presumptive nominee & her vs all candidates, nothing such for Sanders & barely a question.

Demographics are a mess & impossible to understand - I am not sure how accurate this is but Clinton's lead is not over 10% in any polls as of now!

[Shadows]

Clinton's lead is 11% among likely voters.Bloomberg is reporting LV numbers instead of registered voters, as it should be. http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2016-03-28/clinton-47-sanders-36-in-california-primary-l-a-times-poll

No break-up, no details, till that is provided that is likely sh**t. CA , Sanders will anyways - I am willing to make a financial bet!

[Crumpets]

Clinton's lead is 11% among likely voters.Bloomberg is reporting LV numbers instead of registered voters, as it should be. http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/trackers/2016-03-28/clinton-47-sanders-36-in-california-primary-l-a-times-poll

No break-up, no details, till that is provided that is likely sh**t. CA , Sanders will anyways - I am willing to make a financial bet!

Always a good idea to make bets when there is no active verb to actually bet on.

[RJEvans]

I wonder how many peoples votes are locked in now? Earlier in the primary Sanders was able to close major gaps because he was an unknown. I wonder how many people know Sanders, what he stands for etc. That could give us an idea of whether these gaps can close or even switch.

[IceSpear]

She's up 11 with LVs.

Stupendous news!

[Sbane]

Crosstabs: https://gqrr.app.box.com/s/k000yvcmq0flmf56jw26vkm4mm52az3g

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Great news!  When Sanders bernstorms the state we'll see The Harpy's numbers come crashing down into oblivion.  

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

California youth turnout should be atrociously abysmal as usual, and should stifle Sanders' big margins with those age groups. The crusty olds and browns will hand Clinton a solid 8-12 point victory.

how many of those young people who don't turn out are noncitizens?

[ElectionsGuy]

Why the hell are so many people confident in Sanders here? I don't see a confirming reason to be.

[Ebsy]

Clinton is also leading in every region, which is bad news for delegates for Senator Sanders.

[Crumpets]

Why the hell are so many people confident in Sanders here? I don't see a confirming reason to be.

If Bernie loses CA, there is absolutely no chance whatsoever he wins the nomination. Thus, anybody who is a diehard Bernie supporter will say they're confident of victory in CA, because doing otherwise would be to admit defeat.