Quinnipiac national:D: Clinton 50% Sanders 38%; R: Trump 43% Cruz 29% Kasich 16%

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac national poll, conducted March 16-21:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2333

Dems

Clinton 50%
Sanders 38%

GOP

Trump 43%
Cruz 29%
Kasich 16%

[Mr. Morden]

2-way matchups:

Trump 46%
Cruz 37%

Trump 56%
Kasich 25%

fav/unfav % among their own party:

Sanders 78/9% for +69%
Clinton 80/15% for +65%

Kasich 60/17% for +43%
Cruz 62/26% for +36%
Trump 62/32% for +30%

[Landslide Lyndon]

fav/unfav % among their own party:

Sanders 78/9% for +69%
Clinton 80/15% for +65%

But, but, but, jfern and Idiot Canuck told me that liberals HATE that two-faced, corporate sellout harpy.

[Gustaf]

Is there a consensus on whether Kasich dropping out would help or hurt Trump in securing a delegate majority?

[Mr. Morden]

Is there a consensus on whether Kasich dropping out would help or hurt Trump in securing a delegate majority?

Most people seem to think that Kasich staying in the race helps Trump, because Trump has an easier time winning plurality victories with a larger field, and most of the key remaining states are WTA by congressional district, if not WTA statewide.

However, I think the optimal scenario for the anti-Trump forces might be if Kasich stays in the race until after New York on Apr. 19th, or maybe after the other Northeastern states on Apr. 26th.  If Kasich is in the race at that point, then he might prevent Trump from hitting 50% triggers in some of those states (or CDs).  But once you get into May or June, then I really think the anti-Trump cause would benefit from Kasich being out.