Ann Kirkpatrick releases BRUTAL, SCATHING high energy anti-McCain ad

[Figueira]

It looks like she's betting on Clinton propelling her to victory in Arizona, which is probably her best bet.

[Sol]

Arizona may have only voted for a Democrat once since Truman, but it also is the only state with a disproportionately high number of Democrats in the House. Also, that Democrat, as noted was Clinton, not LBJ. Hillary could make good on AZ on Bill's name and heightened Latinx turnout against Trump. Will that be enough for coattails to Kirkpatrick? Who knows.

I personally wish Sinema had gone for it instead.

Much of that is from a map which was rather favorable to the Dems.

[Mister Mets]

The weakest ad of this cycle. Kirkpatrick must be desperate.

I wonder why she decided to run against McCain. She could have kept her seat.

My guess is she's hoping McCain loses his primary.

[Maxwell]

Arizona may have only voted for a Democrat once since Truman, but it also is the only state with a disproportionately high number of Democrats in the House. Also, that Democrat, as noted was Clinton, not LBJ. Hillary could make good on AZ on Bill's name and heightened Latinx turnout against Trump. Will that be enough for coattails to Kirkpatrick? Who knows.

I personally wish Sinema had gone for it instead.

Sinema is a bisexual athiest. She'd be doing a lot worse. We're lucky she's doing so well in her own district.

[Kingpoleon]

Arizona may have only voted for a Democrat once since Truman, but it also is the only state with a disproportionately high number of Democrats in the House. Also, that Democrat, as noted was Clinton, not LBJ. Hillary could make good on AZ on Bill's name and heightened Latinx turnout against Trump. Will that be enough for coattails to Kirkpatrick? Who knows.

I personally wish Sinema had gone for it instead.

Sinema is a bisexual athiest. She'd be doing a lot worse. We're lucky she's doing so well in her own district.

Isn't she also the ConservaDem?

[Heisenberg]

Arizona may have only voted for a Democrat once since Truman, but it also is the only state with a disproportionately high number of Democrats in the House. Also, that Democrat, as noted was Clinton, not LBJ. Hillary could make good on AZ on Bill's name and heightened Latinx turnout against Trump. Will that be enough for coattails to Kirkpatrick? Who knows.

I personally wish Sinema had gone for it instead.

Sinema is a bisexual athiest. She'd be doing a lot worse. We're lucky she's doing so well in her own district.

Isn't she also the ConservaDem?

Lately she's been voting relatively moderate, though she has also voted with Democrats quite a bit, such as on Planned Parenthood funding, I believe.  And, in a House/Senate race, it's not easy to distance yourself from the national party.  And before elected to Congress, Sinema had a very liberal record in the state legislature, so she'd also be attacked for flip-flopping on some issues.  I also know she was a vocal critic of Israel in the past.  I think she is overrated as a "moderate", and her likelihood of winning statewide is too.  I cannot see her garnering many moderate/swing/crossover voters, and she would probably drive conservatives out to go vote against her.  If 2018 is a GOP wave, she will be a target.

[Maxwell]

Kirkpatrick is also a moderate, and won in a much more conservative district than Sinema.

[Heisenberg]

Kirkpatrick is also a moderate, and won in a much more conservative district than Sinema.

Correct.  Kirkpatrick (who is neither bisexual not atheist, By the way) has also been in the house for longer.  In 2008, despite Arizonan and former AZ-01 Congressman John McCain being the Republican nominee, and winning the district handily, Kirkpatrick managed to oust the district's Republican incumbent, so she has been able to attract crossover voters.  She did lose in 2010, due to the wave and a strong Republican recruit, Paul Gosar.  But in 2012, after the redistricting drew Gosar's home base into another district, Kirkpatrick won back her old seat, even as Romney won the district, while Gosar was elected to represent his new district, the fourth.  Sinema, meanwhile, was elected in a district that Obama won.  In 2014, Kirkpatrick was again reelected, despite another wave, and she seems to be popular.  If she can't win in 2016, with all the anti-Trump sentiment among Latinos, a presidential year bringing higher turnout (favoring Democrats), a contested GOP primary, and Kirkpatrick being the strongest democrat (IMO) for Arizona, and she still loses, then Arizona truly is fool's gold for the Democrats.  Ducey and Flake would be favored in 2018 unless it somehow becomes a wave for the Democrats.  While we're at it, have there been any polls for this race lately? (GOP primary and GE)

[Maxwell]

I would be surprised if Flake didn't fall in a primary, however. But yes, Flake would be favored otherwise.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I would be surprised if Flake didn't fall in a primary, however. But yes, Flake would be favored otherwise.

IIRC, Flake is incredibly unpopular and a pretty weak incumbent.  I could easily see someone like Greg Stanton, Phil Gordon, or maybe even a re-run of Richard Carmona beating him (although Stanton would definitely be the best option).

[Maxwell]

I would be surprised if Flake didn't fall in a primary, however. But yes, Flake would be favored otherwise.

IIRC, Flake is incredibly unpopular and a pretty weak incumbent.  I could easily see someone like Greg Stanton, Phil Gordon, or maybe even a re-run of Richard Carmona beating him (although Stanton would definitely be the best option).

Meh. He's unpopular but it's Arizona so it's a wash if he's moderate enough (which he is, comparatively to the wildly anti-immigrant GOP there).

[BuckeyeNut]

Wait, why is Flake unpopular?

[Heisenberg]

Wait, why is Flake unpopular?

Maybe because he's relatively moderate, he's unpopular by the Arizona GOP?

[IceSpear]

She's done it again!

https://youtu.be/VNk-cTbipkg

High Energy Ann is ripping the senile old DC Fossil a new one with these ads!

[Gass3268]

She's done it again!

https://youtu.be/VNk-cTbipkg

High Energy Ann is ripping the senile old DC Fossil a new one with these ads!

Damn, that's a good ad.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

She's done it again!

https://youtu.be/VNk-cTbipkg

High Energy Ann is ripping the senile old DC Fossil a new one with these ads!

After an ad like that, I'm wondering how many people are gonna vote for McCain out of sympathy

[Indy Texas]

I would be surprised if Flake didn't fall in a primary, however. But yes, Flake would be favored otherwise.

IIRC, Flake is incredibly unpopular and a pretty weak incumbent.  I could easily see someone like Greg Stanton, Phil Gordon, or maybe even a re-run of Richard Carmona beating him (although Stanton would definitely be the best option).

Flake is one of the few GOP senators I would actually vote for if I lived in their state.

[Dr. Arch]

She's done it again!

https://youtu.be/VNk-cTbipkg

High Energy Ann is ripping the senile old DC Fossil a new one with these ads!

Damn, that's a good ad.

Brutal. I knew Kirkpatrick would be an incredibly strong challenge to McCain.

[MasterJedi]

Still feel McCain will win the primary stronger than anticipated and then slap the crazy Kirkpatrick come election day.