Utah-Y2 Analytics Poll: Cruz +24 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:29:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  Utah-Y2 Analytics Poll: Cruz +24 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Utah-Y2 Analytics Poll: Cruz +24  (Read 7001 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,580
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: March 19, 2016, 08:10:35 PM »

Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,580
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2016, 09:04:18 PM »

I collected the votes for every Mormon majority county in Idaho (Utah is majority Mormon, so I thought it could tell us what's coming)

Cruz: 25,181 (51.6%)
Rubio: 12,731 (26.1%)
Trump: 8,197 (16.8%)
Kasich: 2,695 (5.5%)

Percentages are of the four candidates only. It ends up pretty reflective of the poll actually. So, pretty much all the Rubio vote is transferring to Kasich and Trump is staying in third. It'll be even worse for Trump since its a caucus, too.


Another indicator, NV counties on the UT border (excluding Clark):

Cruz: 1283 (41.6%)
TRUMP: 854 (27.7%)
Rubio: 647 (21%)
Carson: 225 (7.3%)
Kasich: 57 (1.8%)
Bush: 9 (0.03%)
Paul: 8 (0.03%)

So, not as wide of a victory, but still a clear win for Cruz. If we take out the withdrawn candidates, it goes to:

Cruz: 1283 (58.5%)
TRUMP: 854 (38.9%)
Kasich: 57 (2.6%)

Which would be TRUMP's worst nightmare.




Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 13 queries.