538 publishes first 50-state primary prediction (based solely on demographics) (user search)
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  538 publishes first 50-state primary prediction (based solely on demographics) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 publishes first 50-state primary prediction (based solely on demographics)  (Read 2886 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« on: March 17, 2016, 03:09:47 PM »

While Sanders underperformed the model in OH, he actually overperformed in ever other 3/15 state. If he overperforms the model in the future like he did in the 3/15 states he could win AZ, PA, CT, NM and IN in addition to all the other states it predicts he would win. He would also end up with the majority of pledged delegates from the second half, although not enough to overcome Clinton's current lead.  

I wonder if they are going to make adjustments to the model based on the 3/15 results.
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