Most likely neither Hillary nor Trump will be their party's nominee.
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  Most likely neither Hillary nor Trump will be their party's nominee.
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Author Topic: Most likely neither Hillary nor Trump will be their party's nominee.  (Read 1529 times)
DrScholl
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« Reply #25 on: March 15, 2016, 04:41:29 PM »

Whether or not he generates more enthusiasm is questionable. So far, the primaries have had fairly low turnout and Sanders does not seem to be sparking the level of new participation that came to fruition in 2008. The delegate numbers make it incredibly difficult for him to win the nomination and it gets no easier for him to catch up. He'd have to post some New Hampshire type victories in the remaining larger states, because as we saw with Michigan a barely there win didn't do him much good in the delegate count.

Washington is the next biggest delegate prize that leans toward him as it's caucus and has plenty of liberal voters. It's possible that he could keep Clinton under viability there.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #26 on: March 15, 2016, 04:56:20 PM »

I don't understand why people think Bernie's chances are so low. He's outraising her, outspending her, generates more enthusiasm, generates more positive press coverage, and just won a big upset victory in Michigan. He should be favored, not just from some widely-mocked Beet prediction (yeah, I know where I stand here), but by conventional prognosticators like Nate Silver and the majority of the board.

Because the Democrats' delegates are assigned proportionally.
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Meclazine for Israel
Meclazine
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« Reply #27 on: March 15, 2016, 05:12:50 PM »

Before anyone freaks out about me freaking out, I am only about 70% sure of Hillary at this point, but 90% sure of Trump.

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IceSpear
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« Reply #28 on: April 20, 2016, 09:43:17 PM »

Bump
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #29 on: April 20, 2016, 09:49:28 PM »

Beet, this is the path to Sanders catching up. Can he pull it off?: http://demrace.com/?share=HqGR6bvI
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