FL/IL/OH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton leads; R: Kasich up in OH, Trump up in FL/IL (user search)
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  FL/IL/OH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton leads; R: Kasich up in OH, Trump up in FL/IL (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL/IL/OH-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton leads; R: Kasich up in OH, Trump up in FL/IL  (Read 4241 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: March 13, 2016, 02:35:14 PM »

Illinois Latinos split 50/50 in 2008 when hometown boy Obama was running.
I don't see how they abandon Clinton this year for an unknown quantity like Sanders.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2016, 04:17:10 AM »

I don't see how Sanders wins Illinois unless he carries Cook County by double digits and the black vote pretty much makes that impossible. The collar counties are too wealthy to have a reason to vote for him. If he only barely won in Michigan, it's hard to see him carry Illinois.

Well, if this year is anything like 2008 demographics wise, there should be about 19% non-black/non-white voters (Latino+Other). If Sanders gets the same percentages of Blacks and Whites in Illinois that he got in Michigan (56% and 28%), he'll need about 56% of the (Latino+Other) vote as well to win.

Hasn't the white % of the electorate been down most places?

Yes, everywhere except Virginia.
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