Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)  (Read 37739 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #375 on: March 08, 2016, 09:18:32 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on March 08, 2016, 09:15:39 PM
I can't believe Kasich is beating Rubio in MS.  Rubio may end up 4th everywhere (and even possibly 5th?). Could he end up with 0 delegates for the night?  How would he survive that?

But the race begins in Florida...  LOL.  Somebody needs to take out the trash.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #376 on: March 08, 2016, 09:18:44 PM »
Education gap in the Michigan exit poll:

college graduates:
Kasich 30%
Trump 27%

non-college graduates:
Trump 44%
Kasich 26%

Satisfied if [candidate name] wins the nomination? (% yes/no)
Cruz 55/42% for +13%
Trump 50/47% for +3%
Rubio 47/48% for -1%

hypothetical 2-man race:

Cruz 46%
Trump 37%

Rubio 44%
Trump 43%

Is [candidate name] honest and trustworthy? (% yes/no)
Cruz 57/37% for +20%
Rubio 53/39% for +14%
Trump 47/50% for -3%

Who ran the most unfair campaign?
Trump 44%
Cruz 22%
Rubio 15%
Kasich 5%
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cinyc
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« Reply #377 on: March 08, 2016, 09:18:58 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 09:15:33 PM
Keep an eye on Mississippi, Trump is very close to 50% and sweeping all the delegates.

According to The Delegate Tracker here, only the 12 CD delegates are winner-takes-all if majority.  The 28 statewide delegates are proportional with a 15% threshold no matter what.  There will be no clean sweep.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #378 on: March 08, 2016, 09:19:08 PM »
Really sending out a measured message of unity and polish with this press conference.
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win win
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« Reply #379 on: March 08, 2016, 09:20:12 PM »
Trump now over 50% in MS.
Rubio? Less than 5.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #380 on: March 08, 2016, 09:21:07 PM »
« Edited: March 08, 2016, 09:27:57 PM by Easter Bushie »
Quote from: cinyc on March 08, 2016, 09:18:58 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 09:15:33 PM
Keep an eye on Mississippi, Trump is very close to 50% and sweeping all the delegates.

According to The Delegate Tracker here, only the 12 CD delegates are winner-takes-all if majority.  The 28 statewide delegates are proportional with a 15% threshold no matter what.  There will be no clean sweep.

This was according to CNN's John King.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #381 on: March 08, 2016, 09:21:38 PM »
More Michigan exit poll:

suburbs:
Trump 36%
Kasich 26%
Cruz 24%

rural areas:
Trump 36%
Cruz 30%
Kasich 18%

Wayne: sample size too small
Oakland/Macomb: Trump +13 over Kasich
Southeast: Trump +22 over Cruz
Southwest: Cruz +13 over Kasich
N. Central / U.P.: Trump +20 over Cruz
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #382 on: March 08, 2016, 09:22:31 PM »
Trump's exit polls in MS now up to 49.5%


52% with men, 46% with women.  51%-49%


lol, Trump showing off the supposedly failed Trump businesses.

He is burying Romney six feet under right now.
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cinyc
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« Reply #383 on: March 08, 2016, 09:23:58 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 09:21:07 PM
Quote from: cinyc on March 08, 2016, 09:18:58 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 09:15:33 PM
Keep an eye on Mississippi, Trump is very close to 50% and sweeping all the delegates.

According to The Delegate Tracker here, only the 12 CD delegates are winner-takes-all if majority.  The 28 statewide delegates are proportional with a 15% threshold no matter what.  There will be no clean sweep.

This was according to CNN's John King.

John King is wrong.  Erc, Frontloading HQ and the Green Papers all agree that statewide delegates are allocated proportionately with a 15% threshold without a majority winner-take-all rule.
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« Reply #384 on: March 08, 2016, 09:24:20 PM »
Fox News as destroyed the Republican Party
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #385 on: March 08, 2016, 09:26:23 PM »
Trump is so thin-skineed. He is spending his whole press conference defending himself over his little products. Obviously going after him on his business issues is a way to get under his skin.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #386 on: March 08, 2016, 09:29:13 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 08, 2016, 09:21:38 PM
More Michigan exit poll:

suburbs:
Trump 36%
Kasich 26%
Cruz 24%

rural areas:
Trump 36%
Cruz 30%
Kasich 18%

Wayne: sample size too small
Oakland/Macomb: Trump +13 over Kasich
Southeast: Trump +22 over Cruz
Southwest: Cruz +13 over Kasich
N. Central / U.P.: Trump +20 over Cruz


Trump is reassembling the suburban-rural coalition that made the GOP dominant from '68-'92. This is yuge.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #387 on: March 08, 2016, 09:30:06 PM »
Kasich is heading for a 3rd place finish. lol
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Alcon
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« Reply #388 on: March 08, 2016, 09:31:15 PM »
Wayne County about 20% reported, and Trump up to a 4% lead there.  His statewide margin remains 38%-26%-23%.

Still no results from Kent County (Grand Rapids).
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Seriously?
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« Reply #389 on: March 08, 2016, 09:32:03 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 09:21:07 PM
Quote from: cinyc on March 08, 2016, 09:18:58 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 08, 2016, 09:15:33 PM
Keep an eye on Mississippi, Trump is very close to 50% and sweeping all the delegates.

According to The Delegate Tracker here, only the 12 CD delegates are winner-takes-all if majority.  The 28 statewide delegates are proportional with a 15% threshold no matter what.  There will be no clean sweep.

This was according to CNN's John King.


CNN is wrong. The CDs are WTA if you get a majority in that CD, otherwise they are 2 winner, 1 second. The statewide is proportional with a 15% floor. It looks like just Trump and Cruz take the delegates here, but Trump gets the vast majority. It will be state 6 of 8 for Rule 40.
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Alcon
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« Reply #390 on: March 08, 2016, 09:34:45 PM »
Actually, 13/249 of Kent County (Grand Rapids) is in.  It's just not on NYT.

Cruz 43%
Trump 21%
Kasich 21%

Sanders 65%
Clinton 35%
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #391 on: March 08, 2016, 09:35:38 PM »
Is Michigan in serious play now for the general? Republican turnout almost 500k higher than Democrat today. Clinton looks weak in MI.
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MK
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« Reply #392 on: March 08, 2016, 09:35:46 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on March 08, 2016, 09:26:23 PM
Trump is so thin-skineed. He is spending his whole press conference defending himself over his little products. Obviously going after him on his business issues is a way to get under his skin.


Appears hes baiting the media and campaigns to fight him on his turf that only he knows.   Smart actually   .. take their attack and make it your strength  .
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MK
Mike Keller
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« Reply #393 on: March 08, 2016, 09:37:53 PM »
Quote from: dxu8888 on March 08, 2016, 09:35:38 PM
Is Michigan in serious play now for the general? Republican turnout almost 500k higher than Democrat today. Clinton looks weak in MI.

Trump/Kasich 16.    It would be close.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #394 on: March 08, 2016, 09:38:26 PM »
DJT exposes the WSJ poll.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #395 on: March 08, 2016, 09:39:36 PM »
Cruz is going to catch Kasich
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #396 on: March 08, 2016, 09:44:36 PM »
The first polls close in Idaho in 18 minutes.  Will we get any early returns from the state?  I know we won't get a call until 10 pm CT at the earliest, but what should we expect out of Idaho?
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #397 on: March 08, 2016, 09:45:09 PM »

How? The urban centers that aren't fully in all seem to be leaning Kasich.
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NHI
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« Reply #398 on: March 08, 2016, 09:46:59 PM »
Quote from: clash on March 08, 2016, 09:29:13 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 08, 2016, 09:21:38 PM
More Michigan exit poll:

suburbs:
Trump 36%
Kasich 26%
Cruz 24%

rural areas:
Trump 36%
Cruz 30%
Kasich 18%

Wayne: sample size too small
Oakland/Macomb: Trump +13 over Kasich
Southeast: Trump +22 over Cruz
Southwest: Cruz +13 over Kasich
N. Central / U.P.: Trump +20 over Cruz


Trump is reassembling the suburban-rural coalition that made the GOP dominant from '68-'92. This is yuge.

This will be a big deal if it comes to pass. A return to Republican dominance, yes please!
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #399 on: March 08, 2016, 09:47:06 PM »
Trump's not sounding crazy tonight and Sanders could win MI? What is going on tonight?
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