MI-CBS/YouGov: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 44%; R: Trump 39% Cruz 24% Rubio 16%
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 17, 2024, 08:26:26 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  MI-CBS/YouGov: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 44%; R: Trump 39% Cruz 24% Rubio 16%		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MI-CBS/YouGov: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 44%; R: Trump 39% Cruz 24% Rubio 16%  (Read 1724 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 06, 2016, 10:04:41 AM »
« edited: March 06, 2016, 10:06:44 AM by Mr. Morden »
CBS/YouGov poll of Michigan, conducted March 2-4:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-lead-in-michigan/
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,580
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2016, 10:12:33 AM »
So that ARG poll was on acid? What a surprise.
Logged
Cruzcrew
Paleocon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 568
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2016, 10:39:44 AM »
Does this indicate a slight bump after Super Tuesday and the debates?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2016, 11:04:08 AM »
What does YouGov have against polling black people? They underestimated Hillary by 30 points in SC, 9 points in VA, 8 points in TX, and 15 points in GA. And now they show her lowest lead in MI of anybody...

This sounds like a brewing scandal.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2016, 11:19:53 AM »
Around 29% of Dem voters are Black voters, far higher than the population of MI & as expected.

The SC & other polls came early, Sanders abandoned ship there leading to very poor turnout & a bigger loss - If they did the poll 1-2 days ago then maybe, otherwise it is difficult to predict correctly.

Safe to say the lead is between 11-17%, somewhere between the 2!
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,747
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2016, 11:49:30 AM »
That MoE on both polls.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 06, 2016, 12:33:14 PM »
Why does CBS/YouGov even bother at this point?
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,068
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2016, 12:56:27 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 06, 2016, 11:04:08 AM
This sounds like a brewing scandal.

lol
Logged
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,680
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 06, 2016, 02:19:00 PM »
Quote from: Paleocon on March 06, 2016, 10:39:44 AM
Does this indicate a slight bump after Super Tuesday and the debates?

This was mostly conducted before the latest GOP debate.   
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2016, 02:33:32 PM »
All the action moving forward is on the REP side. Bernie fans salivating over the size of his losses on 3/8 and 3/15 demonstrate he has no chance at the nomination. Hillary can win by 10 or 20 in Michigan it really doesn't matter. The delegates will get awarded proportionally and she will win the larger, urban areas of every state that have more delegates.
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,938


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 06, 2016, 02:49:08 PM »
After what happened to trump yesterday, I trust zero polls.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 06, 2016, 08:13:55 PM »

My theory is that they still think blacks only have 3/5 of a vote. A simple mistake really, and easily fixable.
Logged
MK
Mike Keller
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,432
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 06, 2016, 08:33:38 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 06, 2016, 02:49:08 PM
After what happened to trump yesterday, I trust zero polls.


I agree.    This poll is probably wayyyyyy off.

Cruz 34
Trump 31.5
Logged
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 07, 2016, 03:03:49 AM »
Quote from: marty on March 06, 2016, 02:49:08 PM
After what happened to trump yesterday, I trust zero polls.

There's a YYUUUGEE difference in the quality of pollsters in Kentucky, Louisiana and Kansas as opposed to a state like Michigan where most major outfits have polled the race. Additionally, primaries are easier to poll than caucuses. (I know LA is the exception there for Saturday as a primary).
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,091
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 07, 2016, 03:35:28 AM »
Why even publish a poll if your MoE is ±8?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.226 seconds with 13 queries.