FL-Monmouth: TRUMP with modest lead

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

If I lived in Florida, I'd consider voting for Trump

That's very kind of you. We appreciate your thoughtfulness and understanding of the need to stop Rubio.

[Ronnie]

Oh, I just noticed something.  The poll includes 83 independent voters, but they can't vote in the actual primary because it's closed.  That could mean that the race is closer than Monmouth projects, assuming indies tilt toward Trump.

[Gass3268]

Oh, I just noticed something.  The poll includes 83 independent voters, but they can't vote in the actual primary because it's closed.  That could mean that the race is closer than Monmouth projects, assuming indies tilt toward Trump.

Would not be surprised if a decent amount of those folks call themselves independents, but are registered Republicans.

[SATW]

If I lived in Florida, I'd consider voting for Trump

Why? Think Strategically. Cruz is my #2 choice after Rubio. I'd imagine most Rubio supporters will put Cruz as their #2.

[windjammer]

If I lived in Florida, I'd consider voting for Trump

You're 13 years old, you can't even vote yet...

[Ebsy]

No Likely Dem numbers?

[yankeesfan]

Sample size for the early vote numbers is 72 so there's a YUUUUGE margin of error

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Yeah.....Rubio is most likely gonna win here, it's expected that 1/5th to around 40% are expected to early vote, and Rubio is dominating with them. And Rubio tends to get late deciders as well, most Cruz supporters I speak to here are tactically voting for Rubio as well.

[Ronnie]

Yeah.....Rubio is most likely gonna win here, it's expected that 1/5th to around 40% are expected to early vote, and Rubio is dominating with them. And Rubio tends to get late deciders as well, most Cruz supporters I speak to here are tactically voting for Rubio as well.

I agree that Rubio has a good shot at winning, but I find it hard to believe that he's dominating amongst early voters, since, if I'm not mistaken, the bulk of early voting happened before Romney's speech and Trump's embarrassing debate performance.  Keep in mind that the sample of early votes in that poll is just 72 people.