LA: Magellan Strategies - Trump-41 Cruz-21, Clinton-61 Sanders-14
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  LA: Magellan Strategies - Trump-41 Cruz-21, Clinton-61 Sanders-14
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Author Topic: LA: Magellan Strategies - Trump-41 Cruz-21, Clinton-61 Sanders-14  (Read 1856 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: March 02, 2016, 11:02:48 PM »

http://thehayride.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/LA-PRESPRIM-030116-TOPLINES.pdf

GOP:
Trump-41
Cruz-21
Rubio-15
Kasich-9

DEM:
Clinton-61
Sanders-14
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2016, 11:07:52 PM »

CALLED IT
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2016, 11:18:30 PM »

It's beginning to look like a good old fashioned bayou schlonging, folks.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2016, 11:28:58 PM »

Wow. I would've expected Trump to lead considering he did even in Oklahoma, but that's enough of a padding that he'll likely win it no matter what.

And looks like Hillary is set to net delegates on Saturday even if, as I expect, Bernie crushes it in KS/NE. Smiley
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2016, 12:05:21 AM »

No one cares about the deep south.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2016, 12:07:40 AM »


But people care about Oklahoma? LOL

You can say nobody cares about it if you want. But that won't stop the waves of delegates from pouring in.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2016, 12:16:55 AM »

I love them HIGH ENERGY CAJUNS.
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2016, 01:12:21 AM »


Alternatively: I don't care about southern blacks that are the backbone of the Democratic party.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2016, 01:14:27 AM »


No one cares about an illiterate college-aged Canadian, who clearly harbors anti-African-American tendencies either.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2016, 01:20:51 AM »


Please stop with this argument. It's embarrassing as a fellow Bernie supporter.


Hopefully this isn't as bad as Alabama was or Mississippi will be. :/
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: March 03, 2016, 02:01:33 AM »

"Progressive" Canadian is one step from accusing "those damn niggas" for stealing the nomination from Sanders.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #11 on: March 03, 2016, 02:42:15 AM »

"Progressive" Canadian is one step from accusing "those damn niggas" for stealing the nomination from Sanders.

It's not racist if those black people don't know their own good while Progressive Canadian obviously does know that Sanders would be best for them.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #12 on: March 03, 2016, 06:08:03 AM »

"Progressive" Canadian is one step from accusing "those damn niggas" for stealing the nomination from Sanders.

It's not racist if those black people don't know their own good while Progressive Canadian obviously does know that Sanders would be best for them.

Calling blacks "superpredators"and pushing for a crime bill that her husband signed into law to look tough on crime is not the right candidate for AA's. Sanders has been consistent on his position among the black community.
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Shadows
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« Reply #13 on: March 03, 2016, 07:00:09 AM »

In 2008 in the Obama vs McCain, around 31-32% of the population was under or at 34 in Louisiana.

In this poll it is at 9%. I know Sanders will loose & loose bad, but these stupid polls with weird demographics is only giving out the wrong stuff
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seb_pard
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« Reply #14 on: March 03, 2016, 07:17:45 AM »

Oh, this is so painful to watch
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #15 on: March 03, 2016, 08:11:05 AM »

"Progressive" Canadian is one step from accusing "those damn niggas" for stealing the nomination from Sanders.

It's not racist if those black people don't know their own good while Progressive Canadian obviously does know that Sanders would be best for them.

Calling blacks "superpredators"and pushing for a crime bill that her husband signed into law to look tough on crime is not the right candidate for AA's.

Actual AA's disagree.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #16 on: March 03, 2016, 10:28:47 AM »

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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: March 03, 2016, 11:30:02 AM »

In 2008 in the Obama vs McCain, around 31-32% of the population was under or at 34 in Louisiana.

In this poll it is at 9%. I know Sanders will loose & loose bad, but these stupid polls with weird demographics is only giving out the wrong stuff

Youth turnout is always much lower in primaries than in general elections. 9% does seem pretty low, but not far off from the 13% it was in SC.
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Shadows
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« Reply #18 on: March 03, 2016, 11:33:50 AM »

In 2008 in the Obama vs McCain, around 31-32% of the population was under or at 34 in Louisiana.

In this poll it is at 9%. I know Sanders will loose & loose bad, but these stupid polls with weird demographics is only giving out the wrong stuff

Youth turnout is always much lower in primaries than in general elections. 9% does seem pretty low, but not far off from the 13% it was in SC.

South Carolina has record Low Turnout for a Primary, not even talking about the GE. Sanders bailed out on the state anyways & I think the final number of people were horribly bad.

For SC it was around 13% for 17-28 & 18-19% odd for under 34 - Was still more than double this.

And historically Louisiana has much more Young voters & much less Older voters than South Carolina  - Go check the numbers.

This is ridiculous! It will be comfortably greater than 20%, this is till 34, not even 29!
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Holmes
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« Reply #19 on: March 03, 2016, 11:34:38 AM »

Might not be too crazy. May end up closer to about 11-12%. For comparison, this is what the voting age so far in Florida (mail/early voting) looks like:

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Shadows
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« Reply #20 on: March 03, 2016, 12:28:00 PM »

Might not be too crazy. May end up closer to about 11-12%. For comparison, this is what the voting age so far in Florida (mail/early voting) looks like:

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Are you even debating this? I am not - If this happens Dems have a big problem in the general but I doubt in any major state we have 11% under 34, I have never heard it has happened recently. Even with states with Low Young Votes with record low Votes, it has been atleast 50% higher.

Florida - Really bad  example - It has not voted - Absentee ballots are generally from older people who can't make it on that day. To compare 100 Absentee ballots of old people & make an assessment of the election is creepy
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swf541
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« Reply #21 on: March 03, 2016, 12:46:01 PM »


Alternatively: I don't care about southern blacks that are the backbone of the Democratic party.

Yes, the area that we have barely and congresssman from, no senators and 1 governor (I am not counting Virginia or Florida in this)..........
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Holmes
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« Reply #22 on: March 03, 2016, 01:27:56 PM »


Alternatively: I don't care about southern blacks that are the backbone of the Democratic party.

Yes, the area that we have barely and congresssman from, no senators and 1 governor (I am not counting Virginia or Florida in this)..........

Is there a more reliable voting bloc for Democrats? You've just seen first hand the power they wield in the Democratic party, even if white Republicans outnumber them.
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emailking
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« Reply #23 on: March 03, 2016, 02:22:23 PM »

Yeah. All democrats should get to have a say in who the democratic nominee is. Ostensibly it is not just a test to see who has the best chance to win in November, but rather who would best represent the party and govern according to Democratic principles.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #24 on: March 03, 2016, 03:36:32 PM »

"Progressive" Canadian is one step from accusing "those damn niggas" for stealing the nomination from Sanders.

It's not racist if those black people don't know their own good while Progressive Canadian obviously does know that Sanders would be best for them.

Calling blacks "superpredators"and pushing for a crime bill that her husband signed into law to look tough on crime is not the right candidate for AA's. Sanders has been consistent on his position among the black community.

Then-Congressman Sanders voted for the 1994 crime bill.  That is a hypocritical attack.

https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/103-1994/h416
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