2015 county predictions
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  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  2015 county predictions
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Author Topic: 2015 county predictions  (Read 6676 times)
muon2
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« Reply #50 on: April 07, 2016, 06:54:27 PM »
« edited: April 07, 2016, 07:30:40 PM by muon2 »


I think this has a bridge chop, too. Otsego connects to neither Madison nor Oneida.

Here's what I have as the connection map.
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muon2
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« Reply #51 on: April 07, 2016, 09:20:16 PM »

This might be even better politically, and it's hard to see any serious complaints from the fruited plain. It keeps chops the same and reduces erosity by 3, so it is certainly better by the basic rules. Two points of the erosity reduction is in a more compact Buffalo-Niagara Falls CD, the other point comes from a reduction of 3 from the Hudson CD with an increase of 2 from the North Country. Everything still projects within 0.5% of the quota for 2020.

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Torie
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« Reply #52 on: April 08, 2016, 06:42:13 AM »

Yes, that map is the winner. Smiley
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muon2
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« Reply #53 on: April 08, 2016, 07:10:35 AM »


Feel free to share it with Yandik, et al.
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Torie
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« Reply #54 on: April 08, 2016, 07:13:38 AM »
« Edited: April 08, 2016, 07:23:37 AM by Torie »


Feel free to share it with Yandik, et al.

Poor Will has to deal with the Bernie bulge, which might drive up the turnout of the left in the Dem primary. Will however thinks he will do better with a higher turnout. I tend to disagree. He's clearly positioning himself as the moderate candidate. Bad luck that. If Hillary had it all wrapped up, the turnout would be low, and he would be better positioned.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #55 on: April 08, 2016, 03:26:45 PM »


Feel free to share it with Yandik, et al.

Poor Will has to deal with the Bernie bulge, which might drive up the turnout of the left in the Dem primary. Will however thinks he will do better with a higher turnout. I tend to disagree. He's clearly positioning himself as the moderate candidate. Bad luck that. If Hillary had it all wrapped up, the turnout would be low, and he would be better positioned.
Isn't the congressional primary in the summer (June 28)?





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Torie
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« Reply #56 on: April 08, 2016, 04:15:10 PM »
« Edited: April 08, 2016, 04:17:06 PM by Torie »


Feel free to share it with Yandik, et al.

Poor Will has to deal with the Bernie bulge, which might drive up the turnout of the left in the Dem primary. Will however thinks he will do better with a higher turnout. I tend to disagree. He's clearly positioning himself as the moderate candidate. Bad luck that. If Hillary had it all wrapped up, the turnout would be low, and he would be better positioned.
Isn't the congressional primary in the summer (June 28)?



No, this April along with the POTUS primary.

Yes, you're absolutely correct. My bad. My focus is on another election at the moment, more locally based, so I am going to give myself a pass. Tongue
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