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February 25, 2021, 03:33:50 AM

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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  TX/GA/TN-NBC/Marist/WSJ: D: Clinton leads; R: Trump in GA/TN, Cruz in TX
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Author Topic: TX/GA/TN-NBC/Marist/WSJ: D: Clinton leads; R: Trump in GA/TN, Cruz in TX  (Read 4617 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: February 28, 2016, 09:13:04 AM »
« edited: February 28, 2016, 09:16:25 AM by Mr. Morden »

NBC/WSJ/Marist polls of TX, GA, and TN:

[GA and TX polls conducted Feb. 18-23; TN poll conducted Feb. 22-25.]

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/polls-trump-clinton-ahead-super-tuesday-states-n527256












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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2016, 09:19:15 AM »

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Thomas D
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« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2016, 09:36:05 AM »

I thought Rubio would have been stronger in TN.
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Shadows
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« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2016, 09:40:33 AM »

Georgia is okay for Sanders, Texas, TN okay but if he can restrict Clinton to under 56%, delegates split equally or near-about or something like that.

Possible in Texas(some polls with 10% lead are there) if there is a HUGE Young turnout(unlikely) but not in Tennessee
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2016, 09:51:29 AM »

I guess it's good if Rubio and Cruz can keep Trump below 40%, but it's not looking good for either of them, except for Cruz in TX
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #5 on: February 28, 2016, 10:12:10 AM »

New Poll: Georgia President by Marist College on 2016-02-23

Summary:
Trump:
30%
Cruz:
22%
Rubio:
21%
Carson:
11%
Kasich:
9%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #6 on: February 28, 2016, 10:17:14 AM »

New Poll: Tennessee President by Marist College on 2016-02-25

Summary:
Trump:
40%
Cruz:
22%
Rubio:
19%
Carson:
9%
Kasich:
6%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #7 on: February 28, 2016, 10:18:43 AM »

New Poll: Texas President by Marist College on 2016-02-23

Summary:
Cruz:
39%
Trump:
26%
Rubio:
16%
Carson:
8%
Kasich:
6%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #8 on: February 28, 2016, 10:23:40 AM »

New Poll: Georgia President by Marist College on 2016-02-23

Summary:
Clinton:
64%
Sanders:
30%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #9 on: February 28, 2016, 10:25:39 AM »

New Poll: Tennessee President by Marist College on 2016-02-25

Summary:
Clinton:
60%
Sanders:
34%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #10 on: February 28, 2016, 10:26:54 AM »

New Poll: Texas President by Marist College on 2016-02-23

Summary:
Clinton:
59%
Sanders:
38%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Ronnie
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« Reply #11 on: February 28, 2016, 10:44:14 AM »

It would be pretty devastating for Rubio if he won't manage to eke out 20% in Texas.

But these polls seem fine, more or less.  I've been skeptical that Trump will manage to end up with anything more than a high-single-digit lead in Georgia, considering Rubio will probably win Atlanta metro by a lot.
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Holmes
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« Reply #12 on: February 28, 2016, 12:42:58 PM »

If last night was anything to go by, these polls are underestimating Clinton.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: February 28, 2016, 12:54:24 PM »

Not confident in those Georgia numbers, but at least it's still a lead.

and looks like Rubio's debate performance is having a dead cat bounce thanks to the Christie endorsement.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #14 on: February 28, 2016, 12:55:29 PM »

If last night was anything to go by, these polls are underestimating Clinton.

I'm leaning that way too... If the black vote is as monolithic behind Clinton as it was in SC in these states, then she should win GA by at least the SC margin, and probably come close in Alabama as well. TN looks right, TX may be a bit closer because of Latinos being more evenly split... but even so, the SC momentum behind Clinton may drive up AA turnout for her while driving down some of his support.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: February 28, 2016, 01:05:29 PM »

If last night was anything to go by, these polls are underestimating Clinton.

It's possible, especially in GA, but not definite. I could see Sanders doing better than the polls are suggesting in TN and TX.

On the Republican side, if Rubio can't even get a second place "victory" in these states, he's done for sure.
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Holmes
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« Reply #16 on: February 28, 2016, 01:12:26 PM »

One thing to consider is that in South Carolina, Sanders vastly outspent Clinton on the airwaves, and had many more campaign offices and paid staff on the ground. In the Southern Super Tuesday states (bar Oklahoma), he's not even trying while she's on the airwaves unopposed. I'm expecting South Carolina-like margins in the South. Oklahoma might even be a double digit win.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #17 on: February 28, 2016, 01:27:52 PM »

Rubio just isn't going to make it
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marty
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« Reply #18 on: February 28, 2016, 01:34:32 PM »

Marist has been GARBAGE the entire primary season. Had trump leading by ten in iowa the weekend before the caucus.
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TexasGurl
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« Reply #19 on: February 28, 2016, 01:36:45 PM »

Doesn't look good for Rubio at all, Can't wait to see his people spin it.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: February 28, 2016, 02:30:53 PM »

Looks like Cruz really does have Texas in the bag. Sad Pretty expected, but Trump is really bad at setting expectations.
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useful idiot
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« Reply #21 on: February 28, 2016, 02:33:35 PM »

Not confident in those Georgia numbers, but at least it's still a lead.

and looks like Rubio's debate performance is having a dead cat bounce thanks to the Christie endorsement.

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Where We Griff 1 We Griff All
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« Reply #22 on: February 28, 2016, 08:40:40 PM »

I don't see how states like GA outperform SC when the electorate will (possibly; under normal conditions, definitely would) be blacker and the Sanders campaign hasn't done anything of substance here. Tennessee should be his best Southern state; I think he made a real mistake not fighting for it early on.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #23 on: February 29, 2016, 03:24:59 AM »

Marco may win a close one in GA?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #24 on: February 29, 2016, 05:15:24 AM »


Rubio's not winning Georgia. It's probably a 10-15% point lead for Trump there.

Unlike others, I am not shocked that Tennessee and Virginia are basically in lock step with the rest of the South in Republican primaries. To me, the latest poll dump just begs the question whether Trump or Cruz is in the lead in Arkansas. Cruz should win Texas.

If Rubio is going to have any chance of not getting shut out on Tuesday, it will either be in Minnesota or that messed up system they have in Colorado this year.
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