BWI - Trump+4 in Ohio, Sanders +1 in Ohio (user search)
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  BWI - Trump+4 in Ohio, Sanders +1 in Ohio (search mode)
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Author Topic: BWI - Trump+4 in Ohio, Sanders +1 in Ohio  (Read 3765 times)
Bacon King
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Posts: 18,829
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E: -7.63, S: -9.49

« on: February 24, 2016, 01:49:40 PM »

This is weird criteria:

The BW-CRI study was conducted during the period of February 11-20, 2016 among 825 likely Ohio voters using online panel data with quotas in place for gender, age, and region (i.e., Northeast, Northwest, Central, Southeast, and Southwest Ohio). To qualify as a likely Ohio voter, respondents had to meet three criteria: (1) they were "absolutely certain" they were registered to vote; (2) they had given "quite a lot" or "a moderate amount" of thought to the upcoming presidential election; and (3) and they had either voted in the 2012 U.S. presidential election or were not eligible to vote.

One can argue if an online panel can really compare to a traditional poll, but the biggest methodological problem I see is the use of quotas rather than weighting to ensure a demographically representative sample. I feel like that could potentially skew the sample a great deal but I don't even know if it's been tried before
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