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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  VT-VPR/Castleton Polling: D: Sanders 83% Clinton 9%; R: Trump 32% Rubio 17%
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Author Topic: VT-VPR/Castleton Polling: D: Sanders 83% Clinton 9%; R: Trump 32% Rubio 17%  (Read 3131 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: February 22, 2016, 11:03:40 am »
« edited: February 22, 2016, 06:28:12 pm by Mr. Morden »

Castleton Polling Institute poll of Vermont, done for VPR, conducted Feb. 3-17:

http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-races-issues-and-full-results#stream/0

Dems

Sanders 83%
Clinton 9%

GOP

Trump 32%
Rubio 17%
Cruz 11%
Kasich 10%
Bush 8%
Carson 3%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 1%
Santorum 1%
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2016, 11:05:51 am »

Good numbers for Kasich considering half the poll was done before NH.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2016, 11:11:59 am »

Hope Clinton can be kept under 15% but I'm not gonna get my hopes up.
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2016, 11:15:25 am »

Hope Clinton can be kept under 15% but I'm not gonna get my hopes up.

She'll probably end up with 2-3 delegates.
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bigedlb
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« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2016, 11:18:36 am »

Castleton Polling Institute poll of Vermont, done for VPR, conducted Feb. 3-17:

http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-trump-leads-vermonts-gop-field-sanders-has-huge-home-state-support#stream/0

Dems

Sanders 78%
Clinton 13%

GOP

Trump 33%
Kasich 14%
Rubio 14%

They don’t list the #s for the other candidates, but maybe we’ll get something from them at some point.

http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-races-issues-and-full-results#stream/0
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2016, 11:23:21 am »

But I was told Rubio would win Vermont Sad

When are people going to wake up and realize that Trump is going to win by massive margins in New England and the Northeast. It will be his best region, even better than the South.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2016, 11:41:18 am »

Yep. Trump will win the nomination. Rubio certainly won't be able to stop him.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2016, 11:44:52 am »

I think there is the possibility that a big Sanders win in Vermont will just be embarrassing for him if he underperforms elsewhere on Super Tuesday.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2016, 11:48:36 am »

I think there is the possibility that a big Sanders win in Vermont will just be embarrassing for him if he underperforms elsewhere on Super Tuesday.

So he should only win by 40%? Would that be less embarrassing?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: February 22, 2016, 12:08:44 pm »

I think there is the possibility that a big Sanders win in Vermont will just be embarrassing for him if he underperforms elsewhere on Super Tuesday.

Yeah, he should really try to perform poorly with the people who know him best. That'd definitely be less embarrassing.  
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mds32
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« Reply #10 on: February 22, 2016, 12:51:20 pm »

Almost none of this poll was done after SC. I honestly want to through this on a pile.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: February 22, 2016, 12:52:58 pm »

But Kasich is going to win Vermont!!!
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Crumpets
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« Reply #12 on: February 22, 2016, 12:53:53 pm »

Didn't the last poll from Vermont show Sanders up 86-10? If so, then Clinton is seriously closing the gap! Wink
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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
realisticidealist
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« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2016, 12:54:07 pm »


This poll was half prior to NH...
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: February 22, 2016, 01:05:36 pm »


Is it actually that influential? Let's just say for hypotheticals here that Kasich got 0% in the seven days before and during NH, then 27 in the eight days afterwards. With a margin of error of 3, Trump and Kasich would be tied in the most extreme scenario. You really have to stretch the numbers to see a Kasich win here (not that he wouldn't do well, I do think this will be one of his best states).
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2016, 01:14:22 pm »

Among the likely voters polled after New Hampshire, Trump leads Kasich 41-16, with Rubio in third at 10%.
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Holmes
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« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2016, 02:16:28 pm »

Among the likely voters polled after New Hampshire, Trump leads Kasich 41-16, with Rubio in third at 10%.

Ha.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2016, 02:39:57 pm »

Among the likely voters polled after New Hampshire, Trump leads Kasich 41-16, with Rubio in third at 10%.

Beautiful Cry
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Figueira
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« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2016, 02:59:43 pm »

I want Kasich to win Vermont because it would be hilarious if Kasich wins a state and Rubio doesn't.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: February 22, 2016, 03:02:46 pm »

Yep. Trump will win the nomination. Rubio certainly won't be able to stop him.
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Deranged California Suburbanite
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #20 on: February 22, 2016, 03:16:06 pm »

I want Kasich to win Vermont because it would be hilarious if Kasich wins a state and Rubio doesn't.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: February 22, 2016, 03:18:41 pm »

#Bernieunder80
#Hillaryover10
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Shadows
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« Reply #22 on: February 22, 2016, 03:29:42 pm »


Congrats, big win for you!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: February 22, 2016, 03:33:59 pm »

In all seriousness, with Bernie posting North Korea-esque numbers in Vermont, I have to wonder how many people would write him in in November. It obviously wouldn't be enough to swing the state, but it could be enough to push Hillary under 60%.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #24 on: February 22, 2016, 04:06:54 pm »

Hope Clinton can be kept under 15% but I'm not gonna get my hopes up.
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