Larry Hogan

[Mike Thick]

http://redmillennial.com/2015/10/26/6-reasons-why-maryland-gov-larry-hogan-should-eventually-run-for-president/

Came across this while idly browsing the internet. Would Hogan make a good candidate for POTUS in 2020? Why or why not? Discuss.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

absolutely, i see him as a potential 2020 contender

[Virginiá]

Yes if he's still in office, but I'm actually pretty sure he's going to lose reelection.

There is the issue of his case of Stage 3 Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma. That could come back, and I know I wouldn't vote for any person (Democrat or Republican) who just went into remission only years prior. Seems like an unnecessary risk to take, as it's doubtful he could adequately perform his presidential duties while undergoing more cancer treatment.

[Mike Thick]

Yes if he's still in office, but I'm actually pretty sure he's going to lose reelection.

There is the issue of his case of Stage 3 Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma. That could come back, and I know I wouldn't vote for any person (Democrat or Republican) who just went into remission only years prior. Seems like an unnecessary risk to take, as it's doubtful he could adequately perform his presidential duties while undergoing more cancer treatment.

https://umm.edu/health/medical/reports/articles/nonhodgkins-lymphoma

It says relapses usually occur within two years. So, we'll see if Hogan 2020 is a thing on November 16, 2017.

As for him winning re-election, it's hard to tell. I think his approvals are in large part because of the cancer, so there's really no way of knowing if people are actually going to vote for him in 2018. Before his diagnosis, he had a 39-17 approval rating, but 43% didn't offer an opinion. So, we'll have to wait until the cancer thing goes away to find out what Marylanders really think of the guy, and what his odds are.

I hate all this waiting

[Suburbia]

Maybe. I don't know if his illness would affect him in 2020 or 2024.

[henster]

I'm not really sure what his accomplishments are. I really think cancer is why he's so popular.

[Virginiá]

https://umm.edu/health/medical/reports/articles/nonhodgkins-lymphoma

It says relapses usually occur within two years. So, we'll see if Hogan 2020 is a thing on November 16, 2017.

As for him winning re-election, it's hard to tell. I think his approvals are in large part because of the cancer, so there's really no way of knowing if people are actually going to vote for him in 2018. Before his diagnosis, he had a 39-17 approval rating, but 43% didn't offer an opinion. So, we'll have to wait until the cancer thing goes away to find out what Marylanders really think of the guy, and what his odds are.

I hate all this waiting

Probably. He still has 3 years of actual governing left. A lot can and will happen during that time, so you could probably consider those polls his honeymoon numbers.

I can't stand anymore waiting myself. I started following politics in general real hard 8 months ago, and we're just now about to actually start voting. It's going to be a long 9+ months, and then a long 2 years after that, and then...

[Mike Thick]

https://umm.edu/health/medical/reports/articles/nonhodgkins-lymphoma

It says relapses usually occur within two years. So, we'll see if Hogan 2020 is a thing on November 16, 2017.

As for him winning re-election, it's hard to tell. I think his approvals are in large part because of the cancer, so there's really no way of knowing if people are actually going to vote for him in 2018. Before his diagnosis, he had a 39-17 approval rating, but 43% didn't offer an opinion. So, we'll have to wait until the cancer thing goes away to find out what Marylanders really think of the guy, and what his odds are.

I hate all this waiting

Probably. He still has 3 years of actual governing left. A lot can and will happen during that time, so you could probably consider those polls his honeymoon numbers.

I can't stand anymore waiting myself. I started following politics in general real hard 8 months ago, and we're just now about to actually start voting. It's going to be a long 9+ months, and then a long 2 years after that, and then...

I'd like to think that they'll stick because he's governing effectively, but that's probably my conservative leanings doing the talking.

The waiting is frustrating! However, it'll be worth the wait on Monday, at least for you, if the Trumpster wins Iowa.

[RRusso1982]

I think Hogan has a decent shot at reelection.  A very bad national environment did Bob Ehrlich in in 2006.  I think that the way things look now, Hogan will become like Bill Weld in 1994.  All the potential top tier challengers (Ruppersberger, Franchot, Gansler, Leggett) will look at Hogan's high approval ratings and decide it just isn't worth the risk in running against him.  Then Hogan will end up with a second or third rate challenger. 

[Mister Mets]

If he's ambitious, he could also pull a Jimmy Carter/ Mitt Romney and not run for a second term.

But there is certainly precedent for a reelection in a state like Maryland (although not actually in Maryland.)

[Horsemask]

Great guy, had the pleasure of meeting him last week, but I'm not so sure about a POTUS run, especially if he has another recurrence of his cancer.

[mufc1878]

No - Hogan & Charlie Baker are not strong enough on life to win R nominee nationwide.

Trump is a one-off.

[Timothy87]

Hogan's popularity is real and it's not just cancer sympathy. No, he would not win 67% in 2018, but people genuinely like him and like the job he's doing