49-state sweep. Holdout? (user search)
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  49-state sweep. Holdout? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Between now and 2040 someone wins in a 49-state landslide. Which state is the lone holdout?
#1
California
 
#2
New York
 
#3
Utah
 
#4
Vermont
 
#5
West Virginia
 
#6
other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: 49-state sweep. Holdout?  (Read 4735 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: February 18, 2016, 08:02:59 PM »

Oklahoma in a Democratic landslide and Massachusetts in a Republican landslide.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,722


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2016, 11:06:15 PM »

Unlikely Hawaii since it has a Republican incumbent bias, which is probably the scenario of a 49-state landslide.

If it's a Democrat incumbent getting blown out, Hawaii would be the holdout.

Yes, though this scenario is much less likely to happen than a GOP re-election.

I'd say for the Dems: MD, NY, MA, RI, and for the GOP: OK, ID, UT (I doubt WV with its Dem history, particularly older voters who could be swing in a landslide.)

Although, West Virginia could be the answer in a Trump 49-state loss.  The answer is clearly that it depends on why one party got 49 states in the first place.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,722


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 01:55:51 PM »

Cruz vs. Clinton: Utah (R), Rhode Island (D)
Trump vs. Clinton: West Virginia (R), Hawaii (D)
Kasich vs. Clinton: Wyoming (R), Massachusetts (D)
Cruz vs. Sanders: Alabama (R), Vermont (D)
Trump vs. Sanders: Alabama (R), Vermont (D)
Kasich vs. Sanders: Idaho (R), Vermont (D)
Generic R vs. Generic D: Oklahoma (R), Rhode Island (D)

Now, these are not necessarily what would have the biggest margins, but just what would be the hardest to flip.
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