NBC News/Survey Monkey: Clinton +10 Nationally
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  NBC News/Survey Monkey: Clinton +10 Nationally
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Author Topic: NBC News/Survey Monkey: Clinton +10 Nationally  (Read 1639 times)
ProgressiveCanadian
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« on: February 16, 2016, 06:55:30 AM »

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/clinton-maintains-national-lead-over-sanders-after-n-h-loss-n519076

Clinton 50%
Sanders 40%
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2016, 06:57:24 AM »

2 of the 7 days were before the NH primary.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2016, 07:00:32 AM »


Very good point and Glorious news for Sanders!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2016, 07:03:05 AM »

Hot damn.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2016, 07:05:12 AM »


Astute observation, jfern.  It's a single digit race!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2016, 07:20:08 AM »

Ew... and meh
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2016, 07:21:08 AM »

By race:



By race for those under 35 years old:


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Shadows
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2016, 08:21:50 AM »

By race:



By race for those under 35 years old:




Only 15% from 18-34 while in Iowa 18% of the voters were from 18-29 so 34 it is likely to more than 25%. This is a little more half of that numbers. Very low youth, so Sanders likely will do much better.

The margin is probably somewhere around 5-6% with polls ranging from 2 to 10%.

Anyways big big difference in the black vote, big problem for Bernie
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Icefire9
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2016, 08:33:26 AM »

This bodes well for Clinton in Nevada.  Sanders is going to need low turnout caucus shenanigans if white voters are evenly split.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2016, 08:50:23 AM »

By race:



By race for those under 35 years old:




Only 15% from 18-34 while in Iowa 18% of the voters were from 18-29 so 34 it is likely to more than 25%. This is a little more half of that numbers. Very low youth, so Sanders likely will do much better.

The margin is probably somewhere around 5-6% with polls ranging from 2 to 10%.

Anyways big big difference in the black vote, big problem for Bernie

He's been much better in other polls.  Let's see how it shakes out, yeah?
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Zanas
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2016, 12:37:13 PM »

That sample size tho : 11,000 ! With that kind of sample size, the numbers for young blacks are pretty worrying for Sanders, to say the least.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2016, 12:53:52 PM »

Unless he wins Nevada, this will be Bernie's ceiling.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #12 on: February 16, 2016, 02:12:49 PM »

National polls aren't going to tell us a lot, since they'll fluctuate depending on how NV and SC go.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: February 16, 2016, 02:24:54 PM »

Who cares about s[Inks] online polls? I guess the crosstabs are interesting in that apparently even young black people aren't supporting Sanders, and if the crosstabs are accurate, Clinton will be winning Nevada.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #14 on: February 16, 2016, 03:01:06 PM »

Who cares about s[Inks] online polls? I guess the crosstabs are interesting in that apparently even young black people aren't supporting Sanders, and if the crosstabs are accurate, Clinton will be winning Nevada.

It's 13,000+ random adults, only 11,000 or so being registered to vote.  So who knows if they even have a methodology.
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