SC-PPP: Trump 35, Rubio/Cruz 18, Hillary leads 55/34

[Antonio the Sixth]

Good to see Bernie is still gaining ground!

[Gass3268]

With the current poll trends, is it possible that Trump wins bigger than Clinton does?

[Maxwell]

I don't know why people are shocked Trump's comments didn't hurt him, like all of his other comments didn't hurt him. At this point people should just stop expecting it.

also wtf how is Rubs in second? Does nothing matter anymore?

[Eraserhead]

Heh, so ARG gives Clinton a huge lead with whites, YouGov gives Sanders a huge lead with whites and PPP has them tied among whites.

Honestly, PPP's numbers seem the most believable to me but they have a lot to prove after their Democratic and GOP flops in Iowa.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I see the media's rehabilitation of Rubio is working. It's just ridiculous. The guy is a total lightweight.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Heh, so ARG gives Clinton a huge lead with whites, YouGov gives Sanders a huge lead with whites and PPP has them tied among whites.

Honestly, PPP's numbers seem the most believable to me but they have a lot to prove after their Democratic and GOP flops in Iowa.

I wonder if PPP stopped being a total Hillary hack. Hillary up 21 points is actually believable.

[PaperKooper]

I don't know why people are shocked Trump's comments didn't hurt him, like all of his other comments didn't hurt him. At this point people should just stop expecting it.

also wtf how is Rubs in second? Does nothing matter anymore?

Those two statements totally aren't contradictory. 

[Mehmentum]

I see the media's rehabilitation of Rubio is working. It's just ridiculous. The guy is a total lightweight.

He's probably just going to self destruct again.  He can't handle the pressure.

[Comrade Funk]

Blacks are not buying the old white man's schtick. Apparently we don't want free stuff or seek it out.

Why bring up race, gender, and age? Do you have something against old white men?!?!

TRUMP will win by a bigger margin than clinton

[Bigby]

If Trump only loses like 2% for saying Bush failed us on 9/11, then he's golden.

[Ronnie]

If Trump only loses like 2% for saying Bush failed us on 9/11, then he's golden.

His base is completely unshakeable.  That's going to be the biggest challenge for any candidate who wants to overcome his lead, especially if the race doesn't quickly winnow down to 2 people. 

[The Free North]

For the record changes since the last PPP poll in november (I believe)

Trump: +10
Kasich: +7
Rubio: +5
Cruz: +3
Jeb: -1
Carson: -14

[DrScholl]

Blacks are not buying the old white man's schtick. Apparently we don't want free stuff or seek it out.

Wait, you're black??

Yes

Blacks are not buying the old white man's schtick. Apparently we don't want free stuff or seek it out.

Why bring up race, gender, and age? Do you have something against old white men?!?!

TRUMP will win by a bigger margin than clinton

I brought it up because Sanders supporters claimed that Sanders would win blacks once they learned about his plans for free stuff.

[Skye]

Time to pack your stuff Jeb. It was fun while it lasted.

[Maxwell]

I don't know why people are shocked Trump's comments didn't hurt him, like all of his other comments didn't hurt him. At this point people should just stop expecting it.

also wtf how is Rubs in second? Does nothing matter anymore?

Those two statements totally aren't contradictory. 

Huh, guess you're right. Maybe TRUMP's destroying of media narrative is having some backlash effects in favor of Rubs.

[Tender Branson]

PPP has been awful the last few cycles incl. in IA (where they were too pro-Hillary and then they were even so embarassed that they skipped NH), so yeah, I wouldn't put much stock into these numbers.

Sanders will likely finish above 40%, maybe as high as 45-46%.

You've heard it here first.

[Shadows]

33% Swing for Sanders, wow. I still think Sanders will lead the white vote & not tie as here. Young voter turnout will be higher than here.

So given PPP realistically, noway is Clinton leading more than 15%. I am still optimistic that with a victory in Nevada, Sanders can get the loss under 10%.  If he manages to get 40% of the black votes nationally, Clinton is done. He does not need to win but atleast improve to a competitive position

[Eraserhead]

Sanders will likely finish above 40%, maybe as high as 45-46%.

Nah, he'll never get that high.

[RBH]

don't count out Martin O'Malley in SC.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL Jeb! JEBMENTUM!

[Mr. Morden]

Here’s the full release:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_21616.pdf

whites
Clinton 46%
Sanders 46%

blacks
Clinton 63%
Sanders 23%

GOP 4-way race:

Trump 39%
Rubio 21%
Cruz 20%
Bush 12%

3-way race:

Trump 40%
Rubio 28%
Cruz 22%

2-way:

Trump 50%
Bush 40%

Rubio 47%
Cruz 37%

Trump 48%
Cruz 38%

Trump 46%
Rubio 45%

Should note that in the close Rubio vs. Trump head-to-head, at least a plurality of every other candidate’s supporters side with Rubio, even supporters of “outsiders” Cruz and Carson.

fav / unfav % among their own party:

Dems

Clinton 66/22% for +44%
Sanders 52/27% for +25%

GOP

Carson 68/23% for +45%
Rubio 58/32% for +26%
Kasich 52/29% for +23%
Trump 50/43% for +7%
Bush 41/43% for -2%
Cruz 42/48% for -6%

[Gass3268]

If those favorables are accurate for Cruz, stick a fork in him. He's done.

[EliteLX]

Here’s the full release:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_SC_21616.pdf

whites
Clinton 46%
Sanders 46%

blacks
Clinton 63%
Sanders 23%

GOP 4-way race:

Trump 39%
Rubio 21%
Cruz 20%
Bush 12%

3-way race:

Trump 40%
Rubio 28%
Cruz 22%

2-way:

Trump 50%
Bush 40%

Rubio 47%
Cruz 37%

Trump 48%
Cruz 38%

Trump 46%
Rubio 45%

Should note that in the close Rubio vs. Trump head-to-head, at least a plurality of every other candidate’s supporters side with Rubio, even supporters of “outsiders” Cruz and Carson.

fav / unfav % among their own party:

Dems

Clinton 66/22% for +44%
Sanders 52/27% for +25%

GOP

Carson 68/23% for +45%
Rubio 58/32% for +26%
Kasich 52/29% for +23%
Trump 50/43% for +7%
Bush 41/43% for -2%
Cruz 42/48% for -6%

It's numbers like those that will keep him in the race.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

If those favorables are accurate for Cruz, stick a fork in him. He's done.

Cruz never left the station. He's wasting his time staying in the race. He won't win anywhere aside from maybe a few caucus states and has no path to actually winning the nomination.

[Rockefeller GOP]

Blacks are not buying the old white man's schtick. Apparently we don't want free stuff or seek it out.

Plenty of people of all races want free stuff, Whites most of all, and it's not like Hillary isn't offering the exact same message.  It's called running as a Democrat.